Top Tens – Tropes & Other: Top 10 Extinction Events (Special Mention)

The famous Edwards’ Dodo painted by Roelant Savary in 1626 (after naturalist George Edwards who gave the image to the British Museum after it came into his possession)

 

 

TOP 10 EXTINCTION EVENTS (SPECIAL MENTION)

 

But wait – there’s even more extinction events!

“Estimates of the number of major mass extinctions in the last 540 million years range from as few as five to more than twenty. These differences stem from disagreement as to what constitutes a major extinction event, and the data chosen to measure past diversity”.

So more than enough for my usual twenty special mentions, although I don’t quite go so far as twenty extinction events, as I finish up with a few wilder entries – and start with a few more basic ones.

.Speaking of which…

 

(1) EXTINCTION

 

Well, you can’t have an extinction event without extinction!

So my first special mention has to go to the basic concept of extinction, which as it turns out is not so basic after all.

Coextinction, de-extinction, ecological extinction, extinct in the wild, functional extinction, extinction debt, extinction risk, extinction threshold, extinction vortex, latent extinction risk, local extinction, pseudoextinction, quasi-extinction – more than enough for their own top ten.

 

(2) EXTINCTION CAUSES

 

Of course, the Earth getting whomped by a whopping big asteroid will do it.

But apart from that…

As I said, you can’t have an extinction event without extinction – and you can’t have extinction without causes of extinction.

So my second special mention of extinction causes naturally follows from extinction itself as my first special mention – and it turns out that causes of extinction aren’t so basic either, particularly in the Holocene.

Climate variability and change, genetic erosion, habitat destruction, human impact on the environment, invasive species, Muller’s ratchet, mutational mayhem, overabundant species, overexploitation, overshoot, paradox of enrichment – more than enough for their own top ten.

 

(3) HUMAN EXTINCTION

 

For us, this would be the big one – THE extinction event.

You could also argue that it would be the last extinction event. Sure, extinction events would still happen – at least one in the next special mention – but unless another species evolved (or visited) to measure them, then they’d be like so that Zen tree falling in a forest with no one to hear it.

Of course, one might quibble with human extinction as an extinction event, given the former by definition is the extinction of one species, contrary to the high extinction rate of the latter.

Firstly, it’s like the old quip about the unemployment rate – the unemployment rate is 100% to you if you’re the one out of a job. Ditto human extinction for us with extinction rate.

Secondly, given contemporary humanity with its geographic spread and technological resources, I’d wager that any extinction event that can take us all out would have to take out a whole lot of other species as well.

The usual discussion about human extinction is the extent to which it would arise from natural risks – or anthropogenic ones of our own making. The consensus tends to be that the former involve relatively low risk of near-term human extinction, the latter not so much.

Anyway, human extinction is a subject that could have a top ten list of its own, although it largely overlaps one of my favorite recurring subjects that could have many top ten lists – apocalypse.

 

(4) FUTURE EXTINCTION

 

The Earth isn’t done with extinction events either – we know there will be a gauntlet of extinction events in the future, the last of which will ultimately involve a 100% extinction rate for any life living on the planet.

That’s not even including “random celestial events” that “pose a global risk to the biosphere, which can result in mass extinction” – impact by comets or asteroids, near-Earth supernova, and so on.

Of the more predictable long-term impacts, the most substantial is the steady increase in the Sun’s luminosity. In about half a billion years, that will result in atmospheric carbon dioxide falling below the levels required for photosynthesis and hence the extinction of plants.

Any life that does make it past then – presumably simple or microbial life – will face an uber-greenhouse effect with runaway evaporation of the oceans at about a billion years.

Any life that persists in the isolated pockets that remain remotely hospitable for it – at the poles, underground, and so forth – will face an increasingly impossible gauntlet of extinction that will be total at some point or other, whether when the whole planet surface essentially becomes a game of the floor is lava, or when the Sun expands enough to swallow it all up.

It’s a sobering thought to think that Earth only has a window of opportunity for complex life of about a billion years or so – and that we’re presently about halfway through it. At least, that’s what Peter Ward and Donald Brownlee propose in their book The Life and Death of Planet Earth.

Of course, a billion years is a long time, but it is only a small proportion – a twelfth or so? – of the planet’s duration, and even that is punctuated by numerous extinction events.

Even if humanity gets off the planet (taking whatever other life with it), other habitable planets have the same issue – and there’s an even bigger gauntlet of cosmic extinction events to run in the wider universe…

 

(5) BACKGROUND EXTINCTION

 

Extinction is kind of like the Hulk in The Avengers film – it’s always angry.

Extinction is always there as part of the natural evolutionary process – it just hulks out with a higher rate during extinction events. For example, our present Holocene extinction rates are estimated at 100 to 1000 times higher than the background extinction rate, hence qualifying the Holocene as an extinction event.

The background extinction rate is estimated on different scales but one such scale is the lifespan of species. Apparently, on average species typically exist for 5-10 million years before going extinct, but mammal species have a higher rate as typically existing for only 1 million years.

 

(6) SILURIAN – IREVIKEN, MULDE & LAU

(433 MILLION, 427 MILLION & 424 MILLION YEARS AGO)

 

And now we come to special mentions for actual minor extinction events – events that are classified as extinction events but not, ah, extinction-y enough for the Big Five (or Six). Because let’s face it – if it’s not one done by us, the one that killed dinosaurs, or the Great Dying, I mean who cares, really?

Anyway, there were these three minor extinction events during the Silurian Period – basically evolution gunning for the trilobites again. Oh – and other marine species I don’t really know.

 

(7) CARBONIFEROUS

(305 MILLION YEARS AGO)

 

Killing trees, I guess.

But seriously, it’s described as the Carboniferous rainforest collapse – in which rainforests fragmented and shrank from their former coverage, taking their flora and fauna with them.

 

(8) OLSON’S

(273 MILLION YEARS AGO)

 

Dress rehearsal earlier in the Permian Period for the Great Dying at the end – named for the person who identified the hiatus in the fossil record.

 

(9) END CAPITANIAN

(265-259 MILLION YEARS AGO)

 

Another dress rehearsal in the Permian Period for the Great Dying, by smaller volcanic eruptions (the Emeishan Traps) than the latter (the Siberian Traps).

 

(10) CARNIAN PLUVIAL

(234-232 MILLION YEARS AGO)

 

Climactic change event in the Triassic Period, with evolutionary winners and losers – among the winners were the dinosaurs.

 

(11) TOARCHIAN

(183 MILLION YEARS AGO)

 

Extinction event in two pulses during the Jurassic Period, with the second oceanic pulse as the larger one. Didn’t really affect the dinosaurs – or the Park.

 

(12) TITHONIAN

(145 MILLION YEARS AGO)

 

Another Jurassic extinction event towards the end of that period which didn’t really affect the dinosaurs or Park – minor and selective as extinction events go.

 

(13) APTIAN

(116-117 MILLION YEARS AGO)

 

Minor oceanic extinction event in the Cretaceous Period – didn’t really affect the dinosaurs.

 

(14) CENOMANIAN-TURONIAN

(93-94 MILLION YEARS AGO)

 

Minor oceanic extinction event in the Cretaceous Period. Didn’t really affect the dinosaurs – look, you need an asteroid for that.

 

(15) EOCENE-OLIGOCENE

(33.4-33.9 MILLION YEARS AGO)

 

“Large-scale extinction and floral and faunal turnover, although it was relatively minor in comparison to the largest mass extinctions” – in the Age of Mammals but mammals didn’t seem to be much affected.

 

(16) MIDDLE MIOCENE

(14 MILLION YEARS AGO)

 

Minor extinction event of terrestrial and aquatic life from global cooling in, you guessed it, the middle of the Miocene Epoch – more a disruption than an event, hence its alternative title of the Middle Miocene disruption.

 

 

(17) PLIOCENE-PLEISTOCENE

(2 MILLION YEARS AGO)

 

Apparently also known as the Local Extinction Bubble, hypothesized as a spike in extinction for some marine life from supernovae disrupting the ozone layer. Wait a minute – when did megalodon become extinct? (Spoiler – earlier, at about 3.6 million years ago)

 

 

(18) EXTINCTION MASCOT – DODO

 

Dead as a dodo.

Okay, I admit this isn’t really an extinction event, at least for everything else that wasn’t a dodo – it sure was an extinction event for them. As I quipped for human extinction, when you’re the one going extinct, the extinction rate is 100%.

In a sense, though, it was an extinction event for more than just the dodos. This poor flightless bird in the remote island of Mauritius had the unfortunate, unenviable and ultimately unrivalled distinction of becoming an extinction mascot – iconic of our human-driven Holocene Extinction. I suppose becoming extinct so dramatically will do that.

“The extinction of the dodo less than a century after its discovery called attention to the previously unrecognised problem of human involvement in the disappearance of entire species” – the dodo “has since become a fixture in popular culture, often as a symbol of extinction and obsolescence”.

 

(19) DECLINE IN AMPHIBIAN & INSECT POPULATIONS

 

The poster children of the ongoing Holocene Extinction, not least with respect to their own entries in Wikipedia.

I first became aware of the decline in amphibian populations from David Attenborough’s Life in Cold Blood, in which he attributed it to global warming, with their vulnerability in marked contrast to reptile populations.

I became aware of the decline in insect populations from reports of the decline of insect pollinators – no, not the bees! – and of the anecdotal windscreen phenomenon, as in fewer insects smeared on windscreens.

Lack of high profile attention has been attributed to the “comparative lack of charismatic species of insects” (as opposed to mammals and birds) but the insects most affected ARE the charismatic ones – bees, butterflies, moths, beetles, dragonflies and damselflies. (Cue the pun about damsels in distress). I mean, could it not be the insects people don’t like, such as flies or mosquitoes?!

And if we’re going to have a decline in insect populations, could we at least have a matching arachnid one?!

 

 

(20) FERTILITY DECLINE (STERILE INSECT TECHNIQUE)

 

I try to reserve my twentieth special mention for my kinky (or kinkier) entry where the subject permits, so I took that personally – as a challenge when it came to extinction events.

After all, I’m fond of quipping that my preferred cause of death would be from s€xual exhaustion, so why not expand that on a grand scale to cause of extinction? Ideally, extinction from s€xual exhaustion? Now there’s an extinction event I can get behind.

Less extinction events, more s€xtinction events, amirite?

While I could (disturbingly) imagine other s€xtinction events, not all of them as pleasant, the contemporary decline in human fertility was the closest I got, circling back to human extinction – that or the sterile insect technique used to control insect populations. Funnily enough, I learnt of the latter through its most famous example used as a title for James Tiptree Jr’s short story “The Screwfly Solution” – as a scenario of human extinction (from alien invasion).

 

Tropes & Other – Top 10 Extinction Events

Public domain NASA image (artist impression) of the impact event behind my top extinction event

 

 

TOP 10 EXTINCTION EVENTS

 

My Top 10 Geological Time Periods leads me naturally to my Top 10 Extinction Events – the latter being identified by the former

It always intrigues me how the evolution of life on Earth consistently seems to be dragging itself up by its bootstraps, or to mix metaphors, consistently a process of two steps forward and one step back. The steps back are of course extinction events.

These recurring extinction events are so striking as to make me ponder how complex life survived at all, particularly as the evolution of complex life is compressed into the last 10% or so of the planet’s history. If the history of the Earth was scaled to a single year, complex life only emerges in the last couple of months or so of the year (with the dinosaurs in about mid-December and us a few minutes or so before midnight on 31 December).

Sure, simple or microbial life emerged relatively early in the planet’s history, pretty much when the planet had cooled enough for it, but complex life really only took off in the Cambrian Period 541 to 485 million years ago although it had preceded that period. Thereafter however complex life seems to have been regularly hammered with extinction events in the periods after that – hence making one ponder how it survived at all. I suppose once life reached a certain threshold of diverse and complex life, it was a matter of bouncing back – particularly if you have millions of years to do it.

“An extinction event (also known as a mass extinction or biotic crisis) is a widespread and rapid decrease in the biodiversity on Earth. Such an event is identified by a sharp fall in the diversity and abundance of multicellular organisms.”

When it comes to extinction events, the focus of attention is on the so-called Big Five, followed by a proposed sixth such event – so no prizes guessing as to six entries in my top ten. The Big Five originate from “a landmark paper published in 1982”, in which “Jack Sepkoski and David M. Raup identified five particular geological intervals with excessive diversity loss”.

So here are my Top 10 Extinction Events, as a shallow dip top ten.

 

(1) CRETACEOUS–PALEOGENE / K-PG

(66 MILLION YEARS AGO – 75% OF SPECIES)

This is the big one – not the deadliest but the most dramatic and famous of all extinction events, the one that killed the dinosaurs, brought about by the impact of a 10-20 km wide asteroid at Chicxulub in Mexico. Formerly known as the K-T or Cretaceous-Tertiary extinction event from the previous name for the Paleogene Period – I still prefer it as catchier.

 

(2) PERMIAN-TRIASSIC

(252 MILLION YEARS AGO – 90-95% SPECIES)

 

This is the real big one – the biggest as in deadliest extinction event in Earth’s history, as indicated by its colloquial name of the Great Dying – estimated to have wiped out 90-95% of all marine species, although land species (which included amphibians and reptiles) may have been luckier. Volcanic eruptions in Siberia are hypothesized as the primary cause, with widespread climate change including ocean acidification and acid rain. Alas, poor trilobites!

 

(3) ORDOVICIAN-SILURIAN

(444 MILLION YEARS AGO – 85% SPECIES)

 

Once I got the most famous extinction event out of the way, I’m ranking the Big Five by order of deadliness in terms of extinction rates. Life had crawled or swam its way up with the Great Ordovician Biodiversity Event – perhaps even with the first arthropods on land – only for the planet to punch it in the guts again, with this extinction event of climate change and glaciation.

 

 

(4) TRIASSIC-JURASSIC

(200-201 MILLION YEARS AGO – 80% OF SPECIES)

 

Well, the dinosaurs can’t complain too much since although they were around beforehand, they got their big break from this extinction event – from climate change (probably volcanic in origin).

 

 

(5) DEVONIAN

(360-375 MILLION YEARS AGO – 75% OF SPECIES)

 

The least deadly of the Big Five extinction events, from global cooling. The Devonian has been dubbed the Age of Fishes, although amphibians were getting started on land, so the saying that there’s more fish in the sea was much less so after this event. It also took aim at the trilobites but they made it through, only to be snagged by the Permian.

 

 

(6) HOLOCENE

(PRESENT – ? OF SPECIES)

 

Yes – it’s our present epoch with its ongoing Holocene extinction, the ranked as the sixth big extinction event to add to the Big Five, because of – ahem – us. Hence the proposed Anthropocene Epoch for us screwing the planet.

 

 

(7) GREAT OXIDATION EVENT

(SIDERIAN – RHYACIAN PERIODS 2.60-2.46 BILLION YEARS AGO

 

“The “Big Five” of the Phanerozoic Eon were anciently preceded by the presumed far more extensive mass extinction of microbial life during the Great Oxidation Event (also known as the Oxygen Catastrophe) early in the Proterozoic Eon”. It’s strange to think of more oxygen in the atmosphere – from microbial life that had evolved photosynthesis – as toxic to the life that preceded it even at much lower levels than our own atmosphere but there you are.

As extinction events are measured by the fossil record of complex life, that precludes identifying extinction events prior to the Phanerozoic Era, as by its nature simple or microbial life tends not to leave a fossil record.

 

 

(8) END EDIACARAN

(539 MILLION YEARS AGO)

 

 

“At the end of the Ediacaran and just before the Cambrian Explosion, yet another Proterozoic extinction event (of unknown magnitude) is speculated to have ushered in the Phanerozoic” – that is, our own eon of diverse complex life.

 

 

(9) CAMBRIAN & CAMBRIAN-ORDOVICIAN

(513-509, 501-497 & 486 MILLION YEARS AGO)

 

“Several events in the Cambrian and early Ordovician meet or exceed the “Big Five” in proportional severity.”

There’s the End-Botomian extinctions in the Cambrian 513 to 509 million years ago, the Dresabachian extinction event in the Late or Upper Cambrian 501-497 million years ago, and the Cambrian-Ordovician extinction event 485 million years ago – that last imploding the Cambrian Explosion back a bit and gunning for the trilobites, although they made it through.

 

 

(10) LATE PLEISTOCENE

(129,000 – 11,700 YEARS AGO)

 

Not quite up there with the big extinction events but notable none the less for the extinction of the majority of megafauna, again probably due to, ahem, us. The Late Pleistocene also saw the extinction of all other human species but our own – as well as the spread of modern humans beyond Africa, including to the Americas and Australasia, mapping closely to megafauna extinction.