Top Tens – Top 10 Wars (Special Mention: Revised) (1) Decline & Fall of the Roman Empire

 

The Course of Empire: Destruction (1836) – one of a series of five paintings by Thomas Cole (in public domain) and typically the painting used when someone wants to use a painting to depict the fall of Rome, albeit the series depicts an imaginary state or city

 

(1) DECLINE & FALL OF THE ROMAN EMPIRE

 

The decline and fall of the Roman Empire – that “melancholy, long, withdrawing roar, retreating to the breath of the night-wind, down the vast edges drear and naked shingles of the world”.

I don’t think it is overstating it to describe the decline and fall of the Roman Empire as the PTSD of western civilization. Europeans looked to the Roman Empire as their state or imperial model, with kingdoms or states purporting to succeed or revive it in one form or another thereafter.

Even now, the decline and fall of the Roman Empire informs much modern discourse about state failure – from Edward Gibbon onwards, “we have been obsessed with the fall: it has been valued as an archetype for every perceived decline, and, hence, as a symbol for our own fears”.

I would rank it in my top ten wars but for the lack of a definitive war – although my top ten entry for the Hunnic Wars comes closest – or that matter it is many wars, hence the special mention albeit in god-tier. Also as decline and fall, it involved the former as much as the latter. The Romans were consistently their own worst enemies – not just in their relentless civil wars but also in aspects of internal decline that were observed even as early as the second century – at its peak! – by contemporaries such as the historian Cassius Dio, who lamented the decline “from a kingdom of gold to one of rust and iron”.

But our interest here is its external fall or military defeats, most notoriously at the hands of barbarians at the gates – the Germanic tribes that swept over the empire in what history calls the Barbarian Invasions or Migration Period.

The empire was shocked to its core with the sack of Rome itself – twice, firstly by the Visigoths in 410, and secondly by the Vandals, who thereafter lent their name to wanton destruction, in 455. These sacks of Rome were still shocking even though the imperial capital had been moved to Ravenna in 402, such that the Roman Empire might more accurately be styled as the Ravennan Empire instead.

And there’s something about the Romans desperately trying to hold one line after another in that “melancholy, long, withdrawing roar” that resonates with me. Indeed, any last stand or waning force often invokes the fall of the Roman Empire, both in history, and as we shall see, in fantasy or science fiction.

And there’s certainly plenty to choose from with the fall of the Roman Empire in the century from the disastrous defeat in the battle of Adrianople against the Goths in 378, which opened the floodgates to barbarians invading and setting up kingdoms within the Empire itself, varying between alliance with and opposition to the Empire, until the Germanic leader Odoacer decided it would be easier not to have a puppet emperor and deposed him instead in 476.

Of course, what history tends to forget is that the proverbial decline and fall of the Roman Empire was of the western Roman Empire – the eastern Roman Empire survived and even thrived for another millennium after the fall of the western empire. It even had a damn good shot at recovering the western half of the empire under Justinian and his legendary general Belisarius, before receding again. It then ebbed and flowed, until its final decline over two centuries before its conquest by the rising Ottoman Empire in 1453. So there’s plenty to choose from there as well.

Indeed, the decline and fall of both western and eastern Roman Empires was invoked by Tolkien in The Lord of the Rings with Gondor – the eastern half of the Numenorean states that survived the fall of the western half Arnor. Of course, that would make Gondor correspond to the Byzantine Empire, increasingly focused on its capital city Minas Tirith corresponding to Constantinople making its last stand against Sauron – who would correspond to, ah, the Ottoman Turks?!

Anyway, the decline and fall of the Roman Empire – and the Great Migrations or Barbarian Invasions – might be considered to be on the scale of a world war, but is a little too piecemeal in space or time.

And one can argue we are still living in the decline of the Roman Empire. Or on our Third or Fourth Rome (or more), going by all the countries that have claimed the succession to the Roman Empire. Or the Empire never fell…according to P.K. Dick. Or something like that.

 

RATING: 5 STARS*****

S-TIER (GOD TIER)

Top Tens – History: Top 10 Wars (Special Mention: Revised) (Preamble)

Raising the flag on Iwo Jima as memorialized by the west side of the Marine Corps War Memorial, Arlington Ridge Park, Virigina

 

I’ve always found wars a fascinating subject of history, from the comfortable armchair of hindsight and the fortunate perspective of being well removed from any firsthand experience of them. History, particularly military history, has always been something of a hobby of mine. So of course I have ranked my Top 10 Wars.

But I don’t just have a top ten. As usual for my top tens, I have a whole host of special mentions. My usual rule is twenty special mentions – where the subject matter is prolific enough, as it is here – which I suppose would usually make each top ten a top thirty. My special mentions are also where I tend to have some fun with the subject category and splash out with some wilder entries.

Top Tens – History: Top 10 Wars (Special Mention: Art of War Rankings)

Bruce Lee in his iconic pose from Enter the Dragon – he even quotes and demonstrates (in one scene) the Art of War for his fighting style in the film as winning without fighting (although fortunately for the viewer he wins by fighting with his characteristic martial arts style throughout the rest of the film)

 

 

I’ve ranked my Top 10 Wars of history, essentially by combination of iconic status and idiosyncratic preference, but how do I rank them by their art of war? Typically for the victors, that is, but not always – albeit based on my occasionally idiosyncratic application of Sun Tzu’s The Art of War?

That is, how do I rank them by the strategic or tactical brilliance on display? Entirely differently as it turns out, with no entry in the same place ranking it has in my general Top 10 Wars.

Although at least there is mostly some strategic or tactical brilliance on display in the entries in my Top 10 Wars. It’s surprising how often wars seem to be just grinding slogfests – opponents slogging it out without much (or any) strategic or tactical brilliance on display and winning through sheer attrition or as the last man standing.

In fairness, I can’t help but feel that while Sun Tzu’s The Art of War is a cult classic of military strategy, it’s a little…overrated. It often comes across as some sort of performance poetry – hiding that when it’s not being obvious, it’s being obtuse. Nowhere is this more evident than in its defining principle that the true art of war lies in winning without fighting. Well obviously, but how?

It brings to mind Bart Simpson’s response when his karate teacher gives him a copy of the book for his first lesson and instructs that we learn karate so as not to use it – “Um, I already know how not to hit a guy”. Or the meme of the armchair historian or strategist – “I would simply be superior to my opponent from the outset”.

I also can’t help but feel that The Art of War is a little outdated and hence unfair for my more modern entries. As military historian H.P. Willmott points out in his general history of one of the entries in this top ten, wars against industrial opponents are necessarily wars of attrition – for which Sun Tzu and his pre-industrial art of war has no easy answers.

Anyway, here’s how I rank my Top 10 Wars by their art of war.

 

S-TIER (GOD TIER) – could teach Sun Tzu a thing or two

 

 

(1) MONGOL CONQUESTS – MONGOL INVASION OF EUROPE

 

There were a few contenders for top spot in art of war, but I couldn’t resist giving it to the Mongols, not least for their conquest of the homeland of Sun Tzu, give or take a few centuries from Sun Tzu himself.

Forget Sun Tzu – the true Art of War was written by Genghis Khan and the Mongols, in conquest not Taoist poetry. A friend and I used to observe the irony of Sun Tzu’s homeland of China – a country that historically has gotten its ass kicked as often as not. We also observed the same irony for Machiavelli’s The Prince originating in Italy – a country historically better known for political chaos than competence.

Of course, part of that may have been the reliance of the Mongols on the use of terror, arguably a more effective way of winning without fighting than the covert pacifism of Sun Tzu.

But seriously – an army that conquered almost all Eurasia clearly excelled in the art of war, particularly given how lopsided their victories were for how small their population was compared to their enemies. Part of this was that they were supremely adaptable at coopting the people they conquered for further conquests and strategies of war beyond their characteristic horse blitzkrieg. It’s surprising how small the actual Mongol forces were.

Like other nomadic herding tribes on horseback in the Eurasian steppes until recently in history, the Mongols consistently punched far above their weight in wealth or population – a recurring feature consistently observed by historians such as Azar Gat and John Keegan, as well as with what historian Walter Scheidel dubbed the steppe effect and anthropologist James C. Scott dubbed the Golden Age of the Barbarians.

The horse blitzkrieg of the Mongols embodied much of the mobility and maneuver favored by Sun Tzu – for speed, surprise, and shock, The horse blitzkrieg was a recurring feature mounted (heh) by nomadic herding tribes in the Eurasian steppes – but none were more supremely effective at it than the Mongols, one of the most proficient and versatile military forces in history.

 

(2) ALEXANDER’S CONQUEST OF THE PERSIAN EMPIRE

 

Alexander’s Conquest of the Persian Empire was a close contender for top spot in art of war, for the same reason of consistently winning against the numerical odds as the Mongol Conquests. Winning against the numerical odds or when outnumbered is probably the best demonstration of the art of war.

It only lost out to the Mongol Conquests for the top spot because I couldn’t resist the delicious irony of the Mongols conquering the homeland of Sun Tzu. It was close though as we all know Alexander the Great would have conquered China too if he’d made it there, whether he went through Central Asia or India.

Let’s face it – Alexander the Great would have kicked Sun Tzu’s ass, cutting through all that mystic Taoist poetry like the Gordian knot. I know it and you know it.

Both Alexander and the Mongols pulled off the distinctive feat of conquering Persia, often erroneously touted as some sort of military impossibility – not unlike Afghanistan being touted as the graveyard of empires, which they also both conquered.

However, Alexander did it when Persia was the Persian or Achaemenid Empire, the world’s largest empire to that date by size and by share of world population, in about seven years or so but really about half of that with the rest mopping up, with an army that was predominantly infantry unlike the Mongols.

Of course, that was because Alexander’s conquest of the Persian Empire involved one of the finest fighting forces in history, the Macedonian phalanx, led by one of finest military leaders of history, without a defeat to his name, usually against numerical odds. Heck – it’s often argued whether the Persians had more Greeks in their army than he did.

As the saying goes, fortune favors the bold and Alexander was certainly bold, with a sense of his own greatness as well as the weakness of his Persian enemy and their emperor Darius III in particular, all of which fortunately for him proved to be true.

“Alexander became legendary as a classical hero in the mould of Achilles, featuring prominently in the historical and mythical traditions of both Greek and non-Greek cultures. His military achievements and unprecedented enduring successes in battle made him the measure against which many later military leaders would compare themselves, and his tactics remain a significant subject of study”.

 

(3) SPANISH CONQUEST OF THE AZTEC EMPIRE

 

Rounding out god tier and the third of my three contenders for top spot in art of war, we have the Spanish Conquest of the Aztec Empire

Somewhat surprisingly as Cortes does not have the dazzling strategic or tactical victories in battle as Alexander or the Mongols – which perhaps best illustrates that the art of war is not a matter of winning battles.

Cortes won against far longer numerical odds against him than either the Mongols or Alexander, and arguably the longest such odds of any war in history. Obviously when your forces of a few hundred (or few thousand with reinforcements) defeat an empire of millions in a few years, you’re doing something right in the art of war.

Partly this came down to a qualitative advantage of technological superiority beyond anything in Sun Tzu’s experience, two of Jared Diamond’s titular trinity of guns, germs, and steel – although of that trinity, germs did the most damage (and the most to even the numerical odds), again beyond anything in Sun Tzu’s experience.

Partly it also came down to good fortune, and even more so, the boldness it favors – which was in Sun Tzu’s experience. Say what you will about Cortes, but he certainly had cojones.

And partly it did come down to factors you can definitely draw from Sun Tzu – subterfuge, and above all diplomacy or alliances, which was how Cortes really won his war, arguably the model of winning without fighting. The true reason for the Spanish victory was that the Spanish force didn’t win it as such but rather led a much larger military force consisting predominantly of their native American allies against the Aztecs.

 

A-TIER (TOP TIER) – not quite up there with god tier but still strategy maxxing, sometimes on more than one side

 

(4) GREEK-PERSIAN WARS

 

The Greeks in the Persian Wars were almost exact contemporaries of Sun Tzu on the other side of the world, as the Persian Wars commenced a few years before the traditional date given to Sun Tzu’s death in 496 BC – and I’m inclined to favor the Greeks over Sun Tzu when it came to demonstrated art of war in actual history. Winning without fighting is all very well, but sometimes you have little choice but to fight – and to fight in desperate defence against numerically superior forces.

Hence the genius of Greek strategy, consistently fighting at geographical bottlenecks or chokepoints, including the straits of Salamis. Beyond that, the Greeks won because “they avoided catastrophic defeats, stuck to their alliance, took advantage of Persian mistakes” and possessed tactical superiority with their hoplite forces.

However, I just can’t rank the Greeks in the Greek-Persian Wars in the same tier as Alexander’s conquest of the Persian Empire – given that after all Alexander conquered the Persian Empire rather than just repelled it and with a similar disparity of forces as faced by the Greeks in their Persian Wars.

 

(5) HUNNIC WARS – HUN INVASION OF THE ROMAN EMPIRE

 

I have to rank the Huns close to the Mongols, albeit top-tier to their god-tier, as yet another horse blitzkrieg of mounted nomadic tribes from the Eurasian steppes and the most formidable one prior to the Mongols, founding an empire that should be ranked as the fourth great empire of late antiquity and menacing the other three – Persian Empire as well as eastern and western Roman empires – in turn.

Like the Mongols and those other mounted nomadic tribes from the Eurasian steppes in general, the Huns punched well above their weight in numbers – “they were likely vastly outnumbered by the settled populations they conquered or forced to move, such as the Goths.”

Certainly the Huns demonstrated the art of war, despite their reputation for savage barbarism. At a tactical level, they had the usual speed, surprise and shock of the Eurasian steppes horse blitzkrieg – while strategically, they also sought out ways of winning without fighting through tribute and political alliances.

However, I just can’t rank them in the same tier as the Mongols. Firstly, there’s the greater scale of the Mongol conquests – the world’s largest land empire after all – but secondly the greater span as well. Both the Mongol and Hunnic empires may have similarly broken up or fragmented, but the Hunnic empire did so quicker and with less enduring impact, dependent as it was on Attila’s charismatic leadership.

Also, there’s the little matter of the Huns being more demonstrably rebuffed from their invasion of the Roman Empire than were the Mongols from their invasion of Europe, notably with the Battle of the Catalaunian Plains and withdrawal from Italy. However, that’s arguably consistent with the art of war in Attila’s aims being not much more than raiding on a grand scale to exact tribute – and both the western and eastern Roman Empires, particularly the latter, got lucky from the stroke of fortune of his death from other causes, not unlike Europe with death of the Mongol great khan.

The Hunnic invasion of the Roman Empire is also interesting as one of my top ten entries that you can argue for the art of war demonstrated by both sides. Indeed, you might argue for it more so for the Roman Empire, particularly for the western empire as it managed effective resistance against the Huns even as it was crumbling.

Ironically, “the Huns really disliked eastern Romans but loved western Romans”. Indeed, the latter had effectively allied itself with the Huns against their other enemies – by further irony not unlike the eastern Romans were subsequently to do with the Mongols.

When the Huns invaded the western empire, the Romans demonstrated quite the art of war, firstly by reversing their former alliance with the Huns to ally with the Visigoths and other Germans against the Huns in Gaul, and then by diplomacy for the withdrawal of the Huns from Italy without further fighting. Of course, part of the latter was the eastern Romans under their emperor Marcion reversing their former strategy of paying off the Huns with tribute for an effective and perfectly timed attack on the Hunnic heartland.

 

(6) AMERICAN INDIAN WARS – SIOUX WARS

 

The Sioux Wars are another of my top ten entries you can argue for the art of war demonstrated by both sides, albeit far more so for the United States at the level that counts – winning the war.

Tactically, the Sioux demonstrated the speed, surprise and shock that is part of the art of war – indeed, similarly to the mounted horse tribes of Eurasian steppes that were so effective elsewhere, not surprisingly given the geography of the Plains.

The only problem was they were too little and too late – a few centuries too late, against an industrial adversary that used the true strategic art of war for winning without fighting – picking curb stomp battles from a position of overwhelming material superiority.

It also demonstrates something of an issue for guerilla warfare. Guerilla warfare is often touted as the ultimate expression of the art of war – and it often is, avoiding pitched battles to outlast the adversary, but it had one limitation, particularly in pre-modern history.

Mao Tse-Tung wrote that “the guerilla must move amongst the people as a fish swims in the sea” – which is all very well unless your opponent is willing and able to drain the sea, displacing or eliminating the whole people or at least enough of them to neutralize any guerilla resistance.

 

(7) COLD WAR

 

Wait – what? The Cold War as top tier art of war? They didn’t even fight!

Of course, that’s the point. Ironically, cold war strategy is the essence of the art of war of winning without fighting. Which the Americans and their allies did, although not without some lapses on their part – most notably land wars in Asia.

Indeed, it might be said the Second World War and Cold War were the peak of the American art of war. Although I’m not sure what Sun Tzu would have thought of his art of war being applied from the logic of nuclear weapons and mutually assured destruction.

Although you could argue for the Cold War as yet another of my top ten entries where both sides demonstrated the art of war. For their part, the Soviet Union was at a disadvantage vis-a-vis the United States at the outset of the Cold War, notably against American economic strength and atomic monopoly. However, they played to their strengths – supporting communist guerilla movements in the developing world, hence those land wars in Asia, which saw them achieve a rough parity with the United States in the 1960s and 1970s.

The United States ultimately won by playing to its strengths – not unlike Batman, the superpower of being rich and its ‘family’ of alliances, with arguably the most critical being a de facto alliance with China against the Soviet Union. Significantly, the Soviets had no major allies at the end of the Cold War – just dependencies, mostly rebellious against them.

 

B-TIER (HIGH TIER) – still strategic (on one side or another) but starting to get to winning by slogging it out

 

(8) PUNIC WAR

 

Obviously the Romans excelled in the art of war as a whole, but not so much facing Hannibal on their home territory in Italy – although arguably not even for Hannibal either, given his failure to achieve anything decisive from all his tactical brilliance and victorious battles. In fairness, Roman commanders Fabius Maximus and Scipio Africanus turned it around in Italy and Africa respectively, the latter effectively matching Hannibal’s brilliance in enemy home territory.

Reading Roman military history often prompts me to see the Romans as the Soviet Union of ancient history – winning through the manpower to replace one lost legion after another – and never more so than in the Second Punic War against Hannibal, which is eerily reminiscent of a Roman parallel for the Soviets in Barbarossa. Just ask Pyrrhus – who gave the world the term Pyrrhic victory because the Romans could just soak up their losses and keep coming.

This is something of a caricature for the Romans as well as the Soviets winning through brute force of manpower – both of which were as capable of finesse in the right circumstances, usually a combination of good leadership combined with well-maintained or experienced forces. The Roman legion was the finest fighting force of its time, with a discipline and tactical superiority that allowed it to outfight opponents that outnumbered it – as in the Battle of Alesia or Battle of Watling Street. Although one of the greatest strengths of the Roman legion was not so much its skill in fighting but in engineering, again as at Alesia.

 

X-TIER (WILD TIER) – not so Sun Tzu but something of a paradox for the art of war

 

(9) VIETNAM WAR

 

Wait – what? Surely the Vietnam War should rank in high rather than wild tier for art of war on the part of the Vietnamese, as the literal textbook example of it – both by the Vietnamese using it as their strategy text during the war and the Americans after that war as a result.

It’s been famously said that the Americans won all the battles but lost the war. Almost as famous is the Vietnamese rejoinder (to Col. Harry Summers Jr) to the Americans winning all the battles – “That may be so. But it is also irrelevant.” And so it was for the Vietnamese, the Vietnam War was not about battles but winning the war – which was a matter of endurance or outlasting their adversary, although the casualties and heavy fighting involved leads me to rank it in wild rather than high tier.

The Vietnam War, along with other successful modern insurgencies, has often led to observations of guerrilla warfare as synonymous with, or even definitive of, the art of war. Not so much in pre-modern history – although it did occur in the right circumstances, you don’t tend to hear too much of successful guerrilla warfare, because states were prepared to wipe out or displace entire populations to eliminate resistance.

However, counter-insurgency in modern warfare is notoriously tricky. There is arguably a modern, smart way of winning against insurgency, or there remains the more brutal way, but few modern states have demonstrated the means or above all patience to achieve the former without invariably lapsing into the latter or something resembling it. Just ask the Americans about the coup against Diem, My Lai, the bombing, napalm, Agent Orange or the Phoenix program.

Of course, insurgency can be tricky as well. After all, what do you do with all your forces while you are avoiding all those battles – but at the same time hoping to expand your political control? Insurgencies often default to a brutal answer – killing civilians. You know, those civilian collaborators or representatives of your enemy. Even those insurgencies seen as the “good” ones. Just ask the city of Hue during the Tet Offensive.

 

 

(10) SECOND WORLD WAR

 

The Second World War is something of a paradox when it comes to the art of war, hence its wild tier ranking

On the one hand, it was one of the most complete victories (by the Allies) in military history – and certainly in modern military history, where it is also a rare anomaly being fought to the unconditional surrender and occupation of the enemy states.

Military historian H.P. Wilmott colorfully illustrated the rarity of its victory and relative mobility by his observation that WW2 was the last war of the nineteenth century while WW1 was the first war of the twentieth century. Whatever else you might make of this observation, I think it applied at least in that most wars of the twentieth century (and onwards) are closer to the static stalemate of WW1 than to WW2, which remains something of an anomaly. Elsewhere, Willmott attributes that anomaly to a brief window where mobile offensive firepower outpaced defensive firepower – but the balance swung back to defensive firepower, even during WW2 itself, hence the strength of defense by the Axis before their defeat and the effort by the Allies required to overcome it to defeat them.

On the other hand, winning the war took a lot of fighting – and dying, although the majority of casualties were Allied civilians – seemingly contrary to Sun Tzu’s maxim that the art of war lies in winning without fighting. Historian John Ellis almost sneers to that effect in his description of Allied victory in the title of his WW2 history, Brute Force, while also observing in that book’s preface that it was only Germany and Japan that won elegant victories – that is, without crushing material superiority. Willmott offers something of a corrective to that viewpoint, particularly the question left begging by Ellis. Willmott even observes the same elegant victories – Germany in western Europe in 1940 and Japan in south-east Asia in 1941-1942 as not excelled in the war – but observing that it is demonstrative of their ultimate inability to wage war that both lost despite those victories.

In part, this apparent contradiction of Sun Tzu’s art of war is explained by two factors of which Sun Tzu knew nothing – modern firepower and modern industrial production, with Willmot observing for the latter that a modern industrial state can only be defeated by attrition.

The paradox of art of war in the Second World War is deepened in that the major combatants – Germany, Britain, the Soviet Union, Japan, and the United States – all undoubtedly demonstrated military proficiency at different points or in different ways. The distinction between the Axis and Allies is that while Germany and Japan arguably demonstrated a more consistent military proficiency than their opponents, they were hopelessly outclassed by the Allies in understanding war and waging it – that is, in the art of war. Both Germany and Japan sought to achieve supremacy through victory, while the Allies achieved victory through supremacy consistent with the art of war.

The theme of H.P. Willmott’s The Great Crusade – the best single-volume history of the war – is the refutation of the popular myth of German military excellence. As he paraphrased Oscar Wilde, to lose one world war may be regarded as misfortune, to lose both looks like carelessness. Contrary to the art of war, Germany military genius lay in fighting, not in war.

Top Tens – History: Top 10 Wars (Special Mention: Alternate History Rankings)

Cover of the SF Masterworks edition of The Man in the High Castle by P.K. Dick, arguably the most famous of SF fictional depictions of Axis victory in WW2

 

 

I’ve ranked my Top 10 Wars of history, essentially by combination of iconic status and idiosyncratic preference. But how do they rank by plausibility of their alternate history victory scenarios, ranked from most plausible to least plausible – that is, how plausibly could the war have gone the other way?

Well, they rank almost entirely differently as it turns out, with the exception of one entry from my Top 10 which remains in the same place ranking (in tenth place).

There are some anomalies – one in particular – in my alternate history rankings, because of the discrepancy between their historical plausibility by which I’ve ranked them and their fictional popularity or profile, albeit I tended to reflect that discrepancy by awarding my X-tier or wild tier ranking. If I had done my alternate history rankings solely by their fictional popularity or profile, that one entry in particular would be so far above the rest as to basically be its own list, but sadly for it, the historical plausibility of its fictional alternate history scenarios lags far behind their popularity or profile.

Interestingly, the alternate history rankings divide neatly into halves. The first five entries are the most plausible or those for which the alternate history scenarios even seem more plausible than the actual historical outcome. In other words, it seems more plausible for the war to have gone the other way than the one it actually did. The second half or least plausible entries are the reverse – where alternate history scenarios of victory by the other side seem so much less plausible than the historical outcome, notwithstanding their popularity or profile in fiction for my wild-tier entries.

 

S-TIER (GOD-TIER)

 

(1) GREEK-PERSIAN WARS

 

It was tough to choose the top spot for alternate history plausibility as there were at least three entries where the actual outcome seemed more implausible than the alternatives or just downright miraculous for the victors. However, I went with the Greek-Persian Wars as the highest ranking in this respect – particularly given that there were two of them, with two of the most famous battles won by the Greeks against the odds, one in each war, the battle of Marathon and the naval battle of Salamis. The Greeks themselves attributed their victory at Marathon to divine intervention, with the god Pan winning it for them. Io Pan! Io Pan Pan!

I mean, the world’s largest empire in territorial extent at the time – as well as the largest empire by percentage of world population ever – against the small and fractious Greek city states, with some even remaining neutral?  It seems no contest, particularly when that empire conquered the Greek cities of Ionia in Asia Minor and subjugated or defeated states such as Thrace in Europe

 

(2) ALEXANDER’S CONQUEST OF PERSIAN EMPIRE

 

From one Greek-Persian war to the next, it was a close call for top spot for alternate history plausibility between the OG classical Greek-Persian Wars and Alexander’s conquest of the Persian Empire. Both had historical outcomes that seemed more implausible than the alternatives or just downright miraculous by winning against all odds.

Alexander’s conquest also has the additional factor of being one of those wars that hinge on one man as commander or conqueror, such that the historical outcome seems impossible without that man.

In the end, the classical Greek-Persian Wars just edged out Alexander’s conquest as the former involved a fractious coalition of small Greek city states while Alexander was fortunate enough to have the larger and more concrete state of Macedonia he inherited from his father – and even more so the army his father had forged into the instrument of a hegemonic power.

Stil, it is hard to imagine anyone other than Alexander with the audacity or ability to achieve the same conquests. What if there was no Alexander? There almost wasn’t, with his lucky escape from death in the Battle of Granicus River, which would have seen his historic conquests nipped in the bud.

At the other end, there is the alternative history scenarios of what Alexander might have achieved if he had not died at only 32 years of age at the height of his conquests.

 

(3) SPANISH CONQUEST OF AZTEC EMPIRE

 

The Spanish Conquest of the Aztec Empire was the third of my close contenders for top spot as wars where the actual outcome seems the implausible alternate history victory scenario.

In some ways, the Spanish Conquest of the Aztec Empire seems even more implausible than the classical or Hellenic Greek-Persian Wars. There are simply no parallels to just how lopsided Spanish victory was in their conquest of the Aztec Empire, conquering an empire of millions in less than three years with forces numbering only in the hundreds – or three thousand at their most numerous. And like the conquests of Alexander, much of the Spanish Conquest of the Aztec Empire seemed to hinge on the character of Cortez as commander.

However, in the end the Spanish Conquest slipped down to third place behind the other two entries, because if Cortez hadn’t happened when and how he did – say the Cuban governor Velasquez had succeeded in apprehending him – then something like his conquest of the Aztec Empire would have happened at some point, what with that empire poised on the precipice of revolt and the Americas poised on the precipice of pestilence.

That reflects that Cortez and his Spanish forces effectively led a revolt by far more numerous native American allies – compounded by the Spanish advantages in guns and steel, or above all germs, and yet further by the Aztec disadvantage of “an inherently unstable system vulnerable to a loss of prestige under even moderate challenges”.

 

A-TIER (TOP TIER)

 

(4) MONGOL CONQUESTS – MONGOL INVASION OF EUROPE

 

I ranked the Mongol Conquests just below my god-tier of alternate history plausibility. For the Mongol Conquests, the actual historical outcome seems the implausible alternate history victory scenario, both at their starting point to occur at all and at their finishing point of defeat or withdrawal from the high tide of their conquest.

You have the starting point of the Mongol Conquests, so incredibly exploding out of nowhere. Well, perhaps not out of nowhere. The Mongols – and the nomadic herding tribes on horseback in the Eurasian steppes in general – consistently punched far above their weight in wealth or population as noted by historians Azar Gat, John Keegan, and Walter Scheidel’s “steppe effect”.

Still, the Mongol Conquests are one of a select elite of wars that seem to hinge on one man as commander or conqueror, begging the alternate history question of the great man theory of history – what if that great man didn’t happen? Without Temujin, better known as Genghis Khan, to unite the Mongols and lead them to empire, would the Mongol Conquests have ever begun?

And then there’s the finishing point at the high tide of the Mongol Conquests – when the Mongols seem an unstoppable juggernaut, particularly in their invasions of Europe. Could the Mongols have conquered Europe? The actual historical outcome, the Mongol withdrawal from Europe, seems so much more implausible than the alternatives, particularly when tied with the interpretation that the Mongols withdrew from the historical stroke of fortune for Europe of the Great Khan’s death. However, I tend to agree with interpretations that “the Mongol invasion concluded when the geography was no longer in their favor” – the limits or fringes of the steppe effect as it were.

 

(5) HUNNIC WARS – HUNNIC INVASION OF ROMAN EMPIRE

 

It seemed only fitting to rank the Huns in the same tier as the Mongols for alternate history plausibility, where the actual outcome of the Hunnic invasion of the Roman Empire seems the implausible alternate history victory scenario. The Hunnic defeat at the Battle of Catalaunian Fields seems genuinely miraculous (for the Romans) as does the Hunnic withdrawal from Italy the following year, except the latter even more so from the sheer papal mojo of Leo as Roman imperial envoy.

Indeed, the Huns and Mongols closely resemble each other in their conquests or invasions in Europe.  The former were a more substantial presence in Europe, both in the seat of their empire and their furthest advances westwards, although the latter had far more extensive conquests in the rest of Eurasia. That extends even to the uncanny resemblance that both appeared to withdraw from further European conquests with the historical stroke of fortune of the death of their supreme leader, Attila for the Huns and the Great Khan Ogedai for the Mongols – although the impact of the former was greater and more immediate with the dissolution of the Hunnic empire.

However, historians debate whether the Battle of the Catalaunian Fields was indeed a Hunnic defeat, and whether it was indeed of historical importance in any event. Similarly, historians debate the actual reasons and historical importance for the Hunnic withdrawal from Italy. There’s the arguments or interpretations that Attila’s interest in the Roman Empire was only to the extent of raiding and tribute, albeit on a grand scale, rather than conquest. Hence the Mongol Conquests just edge out the Hunnic invasions of the Roman Empire in my alternate history plausibility rankings.

 

 B-TIER (HIGH TIER)

 

(6) PUNIC WARS – SECOND PUNIC WAR

 

And now we move to alternate history rankings where the historical outcome seems the most plausible, although the Punic Wars also seem to offer tantalizing glimpses of an alternate history of Carthaginian victory. That’s mostly from Hannibal’s tactical military genius in the Second Punic War, although perhaps the better Carthaginian prospect of victory was in the First Punic War, had Rome not adapted itself to Carthaginian naval superiority.

Ultimately however, they’re just glimpses, given Rome’s adaptability and unmatched ability to raise armies, with even Hannibal’s tactical genius just a flash in the pan of Roman victory. Reading Roman military history often prompts me to see the Romans as the Soviet Union of ancient history – winning through the manpower to replace one legion after another.

 

(7) VIETNAM WAR

 

Another alternate history ranking where the actual outcome seems the most plausible, except perhaps for the timing of it.

At best, modern counter-insurgency has become the subject of intense debate as to whether there are effective or viable strategies for victory by the side countering the insurgency. Even those who propose there are concede that such strategies are necessarily narrow, limited, or operate within hard constraints of discipline and restraint.

At worst, it has become a trope for notoriously difficult prospects of success. The Princess Bride film even adapted it for the iconic gag of breaking the rule “never get involved in a land war in Asia” as the most famous of classical blunders. Funnily enough, military historian H.P. Willmott observed as much in earnest by arguing that Japan was the only Asian country the United States could defeat.

As such, alternative history scenarios usually propose the United States “winning” by not being engaged or involved at all, or at least in lesser degrees. Willmott opined specifically with respect to Vietnam that potential defeat was inherent in the concept of a limited war as one of the limitations.

Occasionally you see alternate history glimpses of American victory, if only leaving behind an enduring state as in the Korean War. I’ve seen scenarios argued with various degrees of plausibility as to how the United States might have “won” the war – that tend to be clustered near its starting point or its finishing point, with the former being more persuasive for obvious reasons.

 

X-TIER (WILD TIER)

 

(8) SECOND WORLD WAR

 

Yes, we’ve come to my wild tier for alternative history victory scenarios, and what else to top it but the Second World War?

After all, it’s the big one for alternate war…and it isn’t.

That’s because of the discrepancy between the fictional depictions of its alternate history victory scenarios and their historical plausibility.

Alternate history scenarios for German victory in the Second World War are the most prolific and popular of all alternate history scenarios – in fiction, such that it has whole anthologies and its own entry in the Encyclopedia of Science Fiction (“H!tler Wins”).

And yet, such alternate history scenarios seem so much less plausible than the actual historical outcome of Allied victory – so much so that German victory seems an incredible long shot from the outset, only getting longer the further you go into the war. Indeed, the more plausible alternate history scenarios would seem to involve the Allies doing better than they actually did, including posing the question of how Germany was able to start the war at all. The most plausible alternate history scenarios of German “victory” are those that involve Germany not fighting the war in the first place.

There are alternate history scenarios for Japanese victory in the Second World War but they tend to be only as a consequence or side effect of German victory – often with things looking grim between the two of them after their shared victory (as in The Man in the High Castle, where Germany is planning to attack Japan).

As for alternate history scenarios for Italian victory…I’ll just leave it here like the joke it is. Come to think of it, the whole Axis seems like set-up for a joke, albeit with a black sense of humor for its casualties and destruction – “Germany, Italy, and Japan walk into a war…”

And really, Germany should not regard itself as all that different from Italy when it comes to alternate history victory scenarios – as I like to quip, paraphrasing the witticism that the Soviet Union was just Upper Volta with rockets in the Cold War, Nazi Germany was just Italy with rockets in the Second World War.

 

(9) COLD WAR

 

The Cold War is something of an alternate history scenario paradox, hence its wild tier ranking second only to, well, the Second World War.

On the one hand, its historical outcome of American victory also seems the most plausible, particularly with American superiority at the start and end of the Cold War.

On the other hand, the Cold War offers a plethora of alternative history scenarios, both fictional and counterfactual. In a conflict extending for half a century (or longer if you calculate it from the formation of the Soviet Union in 1917), there’s a lot of scope for American miscalculations or mistakes, more or greater than those that occurred in history, to potentially affect that outcome with varying degrees of plausibility.

Alternate history scenarios for the Cold War are not quite as prolific or popular in fiction as those for the Second World War – but seem more plausible. Firstly, because the communist bloc dominated the heartland of Eurasia, with greater population and resources beyond the Axis in WW2. Secondly, as historian Paul Johnson observed, the impatience of H!tler “made him so dangerous in the short term and so ineffectual in the long term (the very reverse of the Soviet strategists).”

Uniquely among my top ten entries (and for all but a handful of wars in contemporary history), the Cold War also has those alternate history scenarios where everybody loses – the scenario of the Cold War turning hot with a nuclear exchange.

 

(10) AMERICAN INDIAN WARS – SIOUX WARS

 

What the Second World War and Cold War are to alternate history in SF, the American Indian Wars are to alternate history in fantasy.

No, seriously – stay with me on this one.

For sheer historical implausibility, I would rank the American Indian Wars in general and the Sioux Wars in particular in F-tier or bottom tier, as my top ten entry with the least plausible alternate history victory scenarios.

Perhaps if the native American tribes had been more united, perhaps if they had more allies among other nations willing or able to aid them against the United States in the long term, and above all, perhaps if they had fought against the colonies from the very outset or the Americans had lost the Revolutionary War, things might have been different for them but it seems an impossibly long shot against the pervasive defeats of similar peoples throughout history – and indeed in the same historical period throughout the world elsewhere.

However, I rank it in wild tier for the profile of the Ghost Dance in fantasy – a profile that earns its own entry in the Encyclopedia of Fantasy as a theme in that genre. For example, the definitive war in fantasy, Tolkien’s War of the Ring, is won by a version of ghost dance, with a quest ultimately relying on and succeeding through the providence of a higher power.

In history, versions of the ghost dance recur in wars fought by those facing overwhelming material odds against them and hence resorting to supernatural means or their ideological equivalent in an attempt to win or delusions of victory – cough triumph of the will for the Axis in WW2 cough.

In history, ghost dances almost always in dead silence, not least the Ghost Dance. “In fantasy, where magic exists, and where gods may intervene to help the worthy at the last moment, versions of the Ghost Dance may underlie particularly moving moments when the weak and the honest humble their innumerable foes, or perhaps escape into an otherworld through a portal opened by the pattern of the dance.”

 

Top Tens – History: Top 10 Wars (Revamped: Complete Top 10)

 

One of the most iconic photographs of war – Raising the Flag on Iwo Jima by Joe Rosenthal of the Associated Press

 

I’ve always found wars a fascinating subject of history, from the comfortable armchair of hindsight and the fortunate perspective of being well removed from any firsthand experience of them. History, particularly military history, has always been something of a hobby of mine. So of course I have ranked my Top 10 Wars of history.

Just some notes – these are not ranked by scale of destruction or historical impact, although I’d like to think that most or all of my entries would rank highly by those criteria. They are also not ranked by moral justifiability or in terms of being ‘good’ wars, to the extent that such a term can be used for wars, if at all. Rather, they are ranked in terms of historical interest to me and I tend to be interested in the broader themes of history, so I have preferred a broader classification of the wars in each entry, although I do nominate individual wars (or conquests or invasions) within each entry.

 

Just some further notes – I have some ratings within each entry:

 

ART OF WAR

 

Rating the wars by the art of war shown in them, typically by the victors of course, albeit based on my more idiosyncratic application of Sun Tzu’s Art of War.

 

WORLD WAR

 

Rating the wars by their scale – some wars might well be considered world wars (or at least part of world wars) beyond the two twentieth century wars formally designated as such, from World War Zero to World War X.

 

FOREVER WAR –  STILL FIGHTING THE WAR

 

Rating the wars by their span, particularly for those wars we are arguably still fighting.

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

Rating the wars by their plausible alternate history victory scenarios – that is, how plausibly they could have gone the other way.

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS VS BAD GUYS

 

Perhaps most controversially, rating the wars by taking a shot at choosing moral sides or nominating the good guys and bad guys – or not, since history usually does not repay moral judgements.

 

So these are my top ten wars in history. You know the rules – this is one of my deep dive top tens, counting down from tenth to first place and looking at individual entries in some depth or detail of themselves.

 

 

Custer’s Last Charge – entered according to act of Congress in the year 1876 by Seifert Gugler & Co. with the librarian of Congress at Washington D. C. (public domain image – “Sioux Wars” Wikipedia)

 

(10) AMERICAN INDIAN WARS –
SIOUX WARS (1854-1891)

 

The wars that defined the American West and ‘manifest destiny’ of the United States. The wars that put the frontier into Turner’s frontier thesis, as its literal frontier – or front line.

In origin they predate the United States itself, extending to the European colonial powers or American states prior to independence (or union). The American Revolutionary War and War of 1812 were also American Indian Wars, as the British and Americans each had their native American allies.

They were of existential importance to the native American nations or tribes, given that they ceased to exist as independent polities outside of reservations or territories within the United States, if at all. They were also of fundamental importance to the United States as well, given its “acquisition” of territory from those same tribes or nations.

Hence the span, scale and scope of the American Indian Wars in total extends for centuries across a continent. So as for which American Indian War to nominate for this entry, I’ll go with the archetypal or definitive entry, particularly from their place in the culture, history and mythology of the American West – the Sioux Wars.

Even those extended for almost half a century from the First Sioux War in 1854 to the Ghost Dance War in 1891 (and through the Great Plains but as also as far as Minnesota, Missouri and Colorado), with the most definitive Sioux War as the Great Sioux War of 1876 fought by two of the most famous native American war leaders, Sitting Bull and Crazy Horse.

The Sioux Wars feature the archetypal or definitive image of the American Indian Wars fought by mounted native American warriors as well as many of the landmarks of the American Indian Wars – from Colonel Chivington and the Sand Creek Massacre, through the Battle of Little Bighorn and General Custer’s Last Stand, to the Ghost Dance and the Wounded Knee Massacre.

However, the American Indian Wars take their place as wars within even wider themes – indeed, among the widest and oldest in human history.

Firstly, there is the theme of wider native American wars, which the native American nations or tribes found themselves fighting in for half a millennium throughout both American continents against the European colonial powers or their settler successor states, including my next entry.

Secondly there is the theme of wars against tribal nations or tribes, not only in the Americas but worldwide. I’ve heard it said that the basic political states are empires and tribes (or tribal confederacies). That seems somewhat overstated, but certainly tribes or tribal nations throughout the world found themselves under fire in the same period – in the Americas, in Africa, in Siberia and Central Asia, and in Australasia or Oceania.

Thirdly – and overlapping with the previous theme – is the longest theme or war of all, spanning millennia, the wars of sedentary agricultural societies or states against nomadic hunter-gatherers. And it is a war that, despite setbacks at the hands of mounted nomadic herding tribes, has been overwhelmingly won by agricultural states – riding roughshod over the nomadic hunter-gatherers at their frontiers, through their weight of numbers and the things that come with it, the titular “guns, germs and steel” of Jared Diamond.

Even the ghost dance falls within those wider themes over millennia – and millennialism. Of course, I tend to think of all religion as a ghost dance, but particularly so when societies face overwhelming material odds against them and essentially resort to magic to win wars.

And it’s not always tribal societies. The Boxer Rebellion was essentially the Chinese ghost dance – as was the Taiping Rebellion before it, a conflict that tends to be strangely overlooked in history, despite more casualties than the First World War. Of course, the Taiping or Boxer Rebellions show that the ghost dance can get a few good punches (heh) in before it goes down, but it is almost universally doomed to go down, except in fantasy.

Although occasionally even in history the ghost dance wins its weird victories. One tribal confederacy or kingdom that popped up during a power vacuum in its region, but then found itself progressively overwhelmed by successive empires until it existed at the whim of a final one, also resorted to a ghost dance that increasingly substituted heavenly victory for an earthly one.

That of course was the Jewish tribal confederacy or kingdom and its great messianic ghost dance, existing at the whim of the Roman Empire. The Jewish kingdom itself did not survive the Roman Empire, but its ghost dance did – ultimately succeeding first to the imperial cult of the Roman Empire, and then to the remnants of the imperial state itself.

 

ART OF WAR

 

The Sioux tactically demonstrated the speed, surprise and shock that is part of the art of war – indeed, similarly to the mounted horse tribes of central Asian steppes that were so effective elsewhere, not surprisingly given the geography of the Plains.

The only problem was they were too little and too late – a few centuries too late, against an industrial adversary that used the true strategic art of war (for winning without fighting) – picking curb stomp battles from a position of overwhelming material superiority.

It also demonstrates something of an issue for guerilla warfare. Guerilla warfare is often touted as the ultimate expression of the art of war – and it often is, avoiding pitched battles to outlast the adversary, but it had one limitation, particularly in pre-modern history.

Mao Tse-Tung wrote that “the guerilla must move amongst the people as a fish swims in the sea” – which is all very well unless your opponent is willing and able to drain the sea, displacing or eliminating the whole people (or at least enough of them).

 

WORLD WAR

 

Not of themselves, but the Sioux Wars and the American Indian Wars were part of a wider world war in its total scope, the native American wars as one continent descended on two others

 

FOREVER WAR – STILL FIGHTING THE AMERICAN INDIAN WARS

 

We’re still fighting the American Indian Wars – or rather their legacy, although in some cases native American wars are still being fought in the Americas. The American Indian Wars persisted in actual warfare until 1924 (!) – and subsequently in the form of the new and more effective ghost dance of political activism.

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

Alternate history victory scenarios seem almost totally impossible for the American Indian Wars – which had the literal Ghost Dance and were the ghost dance writ large, with the native Americans facing overwhelming material odds against them. The ghost dance can go down swinging, even getting in a few good punches or punching above its weight as it does, but it is almost universally doomed to go down, except in fantasy where magic works.

Perhaps if the native American tribes had been more a united front against the United States, perhaps if they had outside allies willing or able to aid them against the United States in the long term, and above all, perhaps if they’d taken their chances against the colonies from the very outset or the Americans had lost the Revolutionary War, things might have been different but it seems a long shot against the pervasive defeats of similar peoples throughout history.

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS VS BAD GUYS

 

Ah USA – although it’s difficult to imagine the contemporary United States without the American Indian Wars, it’s equally difficult to see the US as the good guys from our modern perspective.

 

RATING: 4 STARS*****
A-TIER (TOP TIER)

 

 

The 1521 Fall of Tenochtitlan by Spanish Conquistador Hernán Cortés, from the Conquest of México series – oil on canvas 17th century (public domain image)

 

(9) SPANISH CONQUEST OF THE AMERICAS –
CONQUEST OF THE AZTEC EMPIRE (1519-1521)

 

Remarkable for just how few Spanish forces conquered such a populous empire in such a short span of time (as it was with the conquest of the Inca Empire).

The Spanish Conquest of the Americas – la Conquista by the conquistadors – falls within the broader native American wars. Indeed, it and the American Indian Wars might be regarded as the two poles of native American wars – whereas the American Indian Wars fall at the tail end of them, the Spanish Conquest is at their very head.

It also propelled Spain, something of a peninsular backwater in Europe that had only just reconquered all its territory from Islamic conquest to the first world maritime superpower.

As for which Spanish conquest to nominate for this entry, I’ve gone with the conquest led by Hernan Cortes of the Aztec Empire. After all, it was either that or the close second for the conquest by Francisco Pizarro of the Inca Empire – and the conquest by Cortes was the influence and model for the latter, as well as effectively the springboard of the whole Conquest of the Americas, at least on the mainland.

Population estimates of the Aztec Empire prior to its conquest vary but generally seem to be about 10 million people, while Cortes had 508 soldiers in his expedition.

And he was lucky to get away even with that, as he set sail only just evading the Governor of Spanish Cuba revoking his commission, as it had become obvious that Cortes had something far more audacious in mind than mere exploration or trade. Cortes also famously scuttled his ships after arriving in Mexico, so that his forces could not retreat and had no other option but to fight.

Of course, Cortes’ forces did have some qualitative advantage of technological superiority. It is tempting to see it purely in terms of the first element of Jared Diamond’s titular trinity of guns, germs and steel – guns.

The Spanish certainly had guns, even cannon, and while the latter gave a useful advantage to the Spanish, I’m not sure I’d want to face down a fanatical horde of Aztec warriors in close combat with my inaccurate sixteenth century muzzle-loading single-shot musket, let alone whatever an arquebus is.

Far more useful were the Spanish crossbows and of course the third element of trinity – steel, in their armor and weapons, which the Aztecs lacked. More useful yet were the 16 horses of the expedition, as the Aztecs (and the Americas) were utterly without and therefore unfamiliar with horses, so that the Spanish cavalry had a real impact of shock and awe on the Aztecs. Probably with less impact but fascinating to me was the Spanish use of war dogs.

Another qualitative advantage was leadership. While Cortes had no experience, he proved himself a capable and charismatic military commander, while the Aztec emperor Moctezuma or Montezuma was generally perceived as weak or hesitant, even by the Aztecs.

Cortes was so capable and charismatic, that he defeated the larger Spanish force sent to retrieve him and then talked its soldiers and cavalry around to joining his conquest. However, this expanded Spanish force was still pitifully small compared to the Aztecs, even with its technological and tactical superiority

Which is where the second element of Jared Diamond’s trilogy was probably decisive – germs. The Aztecs are estimated to have lost almost half their population to smallpox from the Spaniards by the last year of the conquest and Cortes’ assault on their capital.

God and the gods also played their part. Faith in God was an important part of motivation and morale for the Spanish and not least Cortes himself in their conquests, coming as they did on the heels of the Reconquista of Islamic Spain.

One factor may or may not have played a part, reported by Cortes himself, was that he was seen as the return of the Aztec god Quetzalcoatl – but it is disputed as to whether or what extent the Aztecs actually believed this, and impossible to know its effect on them even if they did.

Another factor that certainly did play its part was that of the old saying that behind every great man is a woman. Malintzin, a slave-woman “gifted” to the Spanish with her own gift for languages, who became Cortes’ interpreter, diplomatic adviser and mistress – and who might well be hailed as co-conquistador.

Malintzin was an instrumental part in the true reason for the Spanish victory other than disease – that the Spanish force didn’t win it as such, but rather led the much larger winning force consisting predominantly of their native American allies against the Aztecs.

The Aztecs had their own bloody sacrificial empire that was still new and expanding just prior to the Spanish conquest – for which they were absolutely hated by many or most of their imperial subjects, at least some of whom were all too happy to ally themselves with the Spanish to overthrow the Aztecs.

 

ART OF WAR

 

Well obviously when your forces of a few hundred (or few thousand with reinforcements) defeat an empire of millions in a few years, you’re doing something right in the art of war.

And partly this would seem to be down to factors you can’t plan or even predict according to Sun Tzu – good fortune, and even more so, the boldness it favors. Say what you will about Cortes but he had cojones.

Of course, partly this would seem to be down to factors you can draw from Sun Tzu – subterfuge, diplomacy or alliances, and capturing enemy leaders or holding them hostage.

 

WORLD WAR

 

The Spanish Conquest was the decisive landmark in what might be described, in its total scope, of a world war as the powers of one continent commenced their conquest of two others – the world war that started all the world wars of European maritime empires.

Even more as the Spanish conquest extended beyond the Americas to Asia (where the Spanish conquered the Philippines) and Africa, not least in the slave trade to the Americas.

 

FOREVER WAR – STILL FIGHTING THE SPANISH CONQUEST

 

While the Spanish empire in the Americas fought for and (mostly) won its independence, the Spanish conquest casts a long shadow in Latin America – with native American resistance persisting even today, as with the Zapatistas in Mexico.

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

From the American Indian Wars as least plausible for alternate history victory scenarios among my top ten, we go to the Spanish Conquest of the Aztec Empire as the war where the actual outcome seems the utterly implausible alternate history victory scenario.

There are simply no parallels to just how lopsided the Spanish victory was in their conquest of the Aztec Empire, conquering an empire of millions in less than three years with forces numbering only in the hundreds – or three thousand at their most numerous. Of course, part of that was that the Spanish effectively led a revolt by far more numerous native American allies, another part was the Spanish advantages in guns and steel or above all germs, and yet another part was the Aztec disadvantage of “an inherently unstable system vulnerable to a loss of prestige under even moderate challenges”.

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS VS BAD GUYS

 

Modern historical perspective tends not to favor the Spanish as the good guys, although this is often disputed as a continuation of so-called Black Legend of anti-Spanish history – with some fairness. On the other hand, of all people the Spanish conquered, the Aztecs qualify the least as good guys, although again often disputed as historical propaganda against them – with some fairness.

Probably the only people who unambiguously qualify as the good guys are the indigenous population of Mexico caught between the two empires as one conquered the other.

 

RATING: 4 STARS****
A-TIER (TOP TIER)

 

 

 

Total War Attila game box art

 

(8) HUNNIC WARS –
HUN INVASION OF THE ROMAN EMPIRE (440-453)

 

Yet another horse blitzkrieg of mounted nomadic tribes from the Eurasian steppes and the most formidable one prior to the Mongols, founding an empire that should be ranked as the fourth great empire of late antiquity and menacing the other three – Persian Empire as well as eastern and western Roman empires – in turn.

To be honest, purely on their own merits of military conquest, I’d rank the Mongols over the Huns. It’s hard to argue with the world’s largest contiguous land empire – and second largest empire in all history. While both shared the historical infamy of being extremely barbaric and ruthless towards their adversaries, albeit almost a millennium apart, the Mongols seemed to rely more on strategy than savagery. Both the Huns and Attila acquired such a reputation for savage barbarism that Kaiser Wilhelm sought to invoke it for his German soldiers in the Boxer Rebellion – which of course backfired as the Allies happily used it as a pejorative term for the Germans in the world wars. Although I have to admit Attila being identified as the Scourge of God earns him badass points. The Mongols also seem more diversified in the number of their skilled leaders and commanders beyond Genghis Khan and his death – while the success of the Huns seems largely focused through the charismatic leadership of Attila himself, with the Hunnic empire rapidly disintegrating after his death.

On the other hand, I have this chronological ranking going among the top tier entries of my top ten – and the Huns do predate the Mongols. However, it’s more than a matter of mere chronology – the Hunnic Wars also overlap with the decline and fall of the Roman Empire, itself ranking as god tier special mention to my top ten, arguably more so than any other war. To pit the Mongols against the Romans is often the ultimate fantasy match of military history – I always recall that very proposal in a pulp science fiction novel of my youth – and the Hunnic Wars is the closest you get to that scenario, albeit the Roman Empire in terminal decline rather than its prime. (Spoiler – the Mongols actually did overlap with the Roman Empire, as in the surviving eastern Roman Empire or Byzantine Empire, but more as allies). And from a Eurocentric perspective, the Hunnic Empire was more in Europe itself, with both a seat of power and range of penetration much further west than the Mongols ever did.

I also have a romantic soft spot for the Battle of the Catalaunian Plains in Gaul or France as the heroic last stand of the Roman Empire, although that may be more legend than history – on par for me with the final battle of King Arthur against Mordred at Camlann, particularly as depicted in the film Excalibur, to the stirring choral music of Carmina Burana and Arthur thankful for the mist so that their enemy “may not see how few we are”. Aetius as Arthur, yo! Although in fairness, that was few in Romans, with Aetius relying less on mystical mist and more on his Visigoth and other Germanic allies to make up numbers.

Although truth be told, the real heroic stand and final battle that doomed the Hunnic Empire was the Battle of Nedao in 454, where they were defeated by their former Germanic vassals. The Huns took one last shot at the eastern Roman Empire under one of Attila’s sons in 469, vanishing from history with their defeat.

Their origin is even more mysterious – with some theories resembling an extent almost as wide as the Mongols, particularly those theories that linked them to the Xongniu and other nomadic peoples that menaced China, often stylized as Huns, such as in the Disney version of Mulan. They are also often linked to other nomadic tribes, sometimes also stylized as Huns, that menaced the Persian Empire and even India.

The only clear history of the Huns seems to be that they emerged east of the Volga from about 370, soon conquering the Goths and other Germanic tribes to forge a vast dominion essentially along the Danube on the borders of the Roman Empire – ironically driving the fall of the Roman Empire even before they invaded it, as the various Germanic tribes that invaded or settled in the Roman Empire were fleeing the Huns.

Ultimately however the Romans had to face off the fearsome Huns themselves – and that is where my romantic soft spot for last stands come in, as the Romans managed to mobilize themselves one last time to hold off the Huns. Firstly, however, the Huns turned on the more robust eastern Roman Empire, invading the Balkans and threatening the capital Constantinople, with little to stop them until the emperor opted for the pragmatic policy of paying tribute for peace. The Huns then invaded the western Roman Empire in 451, with Attila claiming the sister of the western Roman emperor as his bride and half the empire as his dowry – with some fairness, as she had swiped right on him in preference to her betrothal to a Roman senator. However, there the Huns encountered the general Flavius Aetius, often hailed as “the last of the Romans”. That’s right – this is an Aetius fan account.

Ironically, Aetius had effectively risen to power by relying on the Huns as his allies. Now he had to face off against his former allies as Attila invaded Gaul, drawing on the waning resources of an increasingly vestigial empire to field one of its last major military operations in alliance with the Visigoths and its other Germanic allies – and won, defeating the Huns at the Battle of the Catalaunian Plains.

Or not, as historians dispute how conclusive a victory it was. Certainly Attila and the Huns withdrew from Gaul, only to invade Italy the following year – with there was little Aetius could do to stop them there, except for the Pope to ask Attila nicely if he would leave without sacking Rome.

Surprisingly, it worked – Attila left Italy (albeit more for lack of supplies and expectations of tribute), never to return as he died the following year, aborting his plans for a further campaign against the western empire – as with the Mongols, Europe was saved from invasion by a fortunately timed death (from Attila partying too hard celebrating his latest wedding to his hot new bride).

 

ART OF WAR

 

Certainly the Huns demonstrated the art of war, despite their reputation for savage barbarism. At a tactical level, they had the usual mobility, speed, surprise and shock of the steppes horse blitzkrieg – while strategically, they also sought out ways of winning without fighting through tribute and political alliances.

As for the Romans, they might have excelled in the art of war at the height of their empire, perhaps even retained their tactical skill towards the end, but just had too few legions as they struggled to mobilize any army.

 

WORLD WAR

 

The decline and fall of the Roman Empire – and the Migration Period or barbarian invasions – might be considered to be on the scale of a world war, but is a little too piecemeal in space or time.

I also like to think the Huns might also qualify as precursors of the Mongols on a similar world scale, but their origins – and links – to people identified as Huns in China, central Asia, Iran and India is not clear.

 

FOREVER WAR – STILL FIGHTING THE HUNNIC WARS

 

Well, not so much the fighting the Huns, vanishing as they did from history, but perhaps still living in the decline of empire…

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

Almost up there with the Spanish Conquest of the Aztec Empire for a war where the actual outcome seems the implausible alternate history victory scenario – the Hunnic defeat at the Battle of Catalaunian Fields seems genuinely miraculous as does the Hunnic withdrawal from Italy the following year, except even more so from the sheer papal mojo of Leo as Roman imperial envoy.

However, historians debate whether the Battle of the Catalaunian Fields was indeed a Hunnic defeat, and defeat or victory, whether it was indeed of historical importance. Similarly, historians debate the actual reasons and historical importance for the Hunnic withdrawal from Italy.

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS VS BAD GUYS

 

Sorry Huns – that reputation for savage barbarism may be unfair and overstated, but when it comes to classical history, I usually side with the Romans, particularly in the fifth century.

 

RATING: 4 STARS****
A-TIER (TOP TIER)

 

 

Hannibal crossing the Alps into Italy, 1881 or 1884 book engraving used as public domain image Wikipedia “Hannibal’s crossing of the Alps”

 

(7) PUNIC WARS –
SECOND PUNIC WAR (218-201 BC)

 

“Carthago delenda est” – Carthage must be destroyed!

The wars that defined the Roman Republic and its empire.

Also the most famous historical duel between two rival powers, with the stakes of supremacy to the victor and destruction to the vanquished.

Also arguably the most fiercely fought of Rome’s wars – and the closest it came to defeat in its rise to empire under the republic, with one of its worst defeats in battle of Cannae.

Also a nice polar opposite to the Hunnic Wars in my previous entry (even down to the resonance of their names) – with the rising republic of the Punic Wars at one pole and the falling empire of the Hunnic Wars at the other.

As for the Punic Wars defining the Roman republic and its empire, I know the Punic Wars took place well before the formal Roman empire, but they defined the Roman Republic as an imperial power and laid the foundations for the Empire in its most famous duel for Mediterranean supremacy.

As for that duel, such was its historical fame and potency of its imagery that the Punic Wars have continued to provide metaphors for modern history. “The wars lasted for more than a hundred years (264-146) and were analogous in many respects to later great hegemonic rivalries like the Anglo-French rivalry of the 18th Century and the Cold War, filled as it is with military arms-races, proxy-wars, attacks on regional states, at the end of which there was only a unipolar political landscape”.

Or in other words, the Mediterranean wasn’t big enough for the two of them.

Even in its defeat and destruction by Rome, Carthage provided the metaphor of Carthaginian peace – for “any brutal peace treaty demanding total subjugation of the defeated side” or terms that “are overly harsh and designed to accentuate and perpetuate the inferiority of the loser”, even more so for the subsequent legend that Rome salted the earth. Most famously, it was used by John Maynard Keynes for the Treaty of Versailles after the First World War – inaccurately in my view as a Versailles fan, and dangerously so as it undermined enforcement of the treaty. It’s a pity the term didn’t prompt more like one wry response to Keynes’ usage of it – “Funny thing, you don’t hear much from the Carthaginians these days”.

“Carthage must be destroyed” was the famous catchphrase of Roman senator Cato the Elder, who concluded all his speeches with it, whether it was relevant or not. It’s certainly an icebreaker. I’m thinking of throwing it into all my conversations as well, or hijacking other people’s conversations with it.

Of course, by the time Cato was using it, it was really kicking a man when he was down. Rome had soundly defeated Carthage in the Second Punic War, essentially reducing Carthage to a small harmless shadow of its former territory – and a satellite state under the Roman thumb.

But to Cato, grumpy old curmudgeon that he was, the Carthaginians didn’t have the decency to be poor after their defeat, having far too much wealth when he visited it as a member of a senatorial embassy. And eventually he got his way with the Third Punic War (149-146 BC) and Rome crushed Carthage completely.

The Third Punic War was the somewhat anti-climactic conclusion to the trilogy of Punic Wars. The First Punic War (264-241 BC) was obviously not decisive but certainly interesting with the Romans wrestling Sicily from Carthage – as well as their impressive feat of throwing together a navy mostly from scratch, laying the foundations for Roman naval supremacy, even if that was mostly done through the neat trick of using ships as boarding platforms for infantry combat.

The Second Punic War (218-201 BC) was the big one . You know, the one with the elephants – in the famous crossing of the Alps into Italy, although only one elephant survived.

So while the elephants may not have loomed as large as had been hoped, what did loom large was the Carthaginian invasion of Italy , striking fear into the heart of Rome itself, and even more so the legendary Carthaginian general Hannibal, one of the greatest military commanders in history, with his textbook victory against the Romans at Cannae.

Sadly for Carthage, however, Hannibal was one of my top 10 great military leaders who were actually losers, because he didn’t know to go hard or go home – or rather, to go Rome or to go home, instead wasting his dwindling time and army d*cking around Italy, something of a running theme in that top ten.

Of course, it’s a lot more nuanced than that (particularly when it comes to the role of Hannibal’s leadership) but the Roman general Quintus Fabius avoided major battles and chipped away at Hannibal’s forces in Italy through attrition, while Hannibal’s rival and nemesis, Roman general Scipio Africanus, pulled a Hannibal in reverse by attacking the Carthaginians in Spain and Africa itself.

The Second Punic War also features some of the most famous battles in history – Cannae of course, but also the battles of Trebinia and Lake Trasimene for Carthaginian victories, as well as the battles of the Metaurus, Ilipa and Zama for Roman victories.

 

 

 

 

ART OF WAR

 

Obviously the Romans excelled in the art of war in their empire as a whole, perhaps even more so the Byzantines in Sun Tzu’s definition of the art of war as winning without fighting. An empire doesn’t survive a millennium without a few tricks of political diplomacy or playing enemies against each other up its sleeve.

However, facing Hannibal on their home territory in Italy was not their finest demonstration of the art of war. Reading Roman military history often prompts me to see the Romans as the Soviet Union of ancient history – winning through the manpower to replace one lost legion after another – and never more so than in the Second Punic War against Hannibal, which is eerily reminiscent of a Roman parallel for the Soviets in Barbarossa. Just ask Pyrrhus – who gave the world the term Pyrrhic victory because the Romans could just soak up their losses and keep coming.

This is something of a caricature for the Romans as well as the Soviets winning through brute force of manpower – both of which were as capable of finesse in the right circumstances, usually a combination of good leadership combined with well maintained or experienced forces. And the Roman legion was the finest fighting force of its time, with a discipline and tactical superiority that allowed it to outfight opponents that outnumbered it – as in the Battle of Alesia or Battle of Watling Street. Although one of the greatest strengths of the Roman legion was not so much its skill in fighting but in engineering, again as at Alesia.

 

WORLD WAR

 

It’s a bit hard to label the Punic Wars as a world war, even if was fought between two continents and had global consequences in the rise of the Roman Empire. However, as mentioned before, it had parallels to subsequent global hegemonic conflicts between rival powers.

 

FOREVER WAR – STILL FIGHTING THE PUNIC WARS

 

Well if there’s one thing a Carthaginian peace is good for, it’s for not fighting any more Punic Wars.

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

The Punic Wars seem to offer tantalizing glimpses of an alternate history of Carthaginian victory, mostly from Hannibal’s tactical military genius in the Second Punic War – although perhaps the better Carthaginian prospect of victory was in the First Punic War, had Rome not adapted itself to Carthaginian naval superiority.

Ultimately however, such glimpses are illusory, given Rome’s adaptability and unmatched ability to raise armies, with even Hannibal’s military genius just a flash in the pan. As I said, reading Roman military history often prompts me to see the Romans as the Soviet Union of ancient history – winning through the manpower to replace one legion after another.

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS AND BAD GUYS

 

Who were the good guys? The Romans obviously! Yes, it’s a bit more nuanced than that – with perhaps not too much to distinguish one from the other, and much to admire about Hannibal. But to quote the Youtube channel Pax Romana, child sacrificer says what? There’s a reason that the name for Moloch has passed into English as a pejorative term – and part of that reason is Carthaginian child sacrifice. No more Moloch!

 

RATING: 4 STARS****
A-TIER (TOP TIER)

 

 

Spartans fighting against Persians at the Battle of Plataea – illustration in Cassell’s Illustrated Universal History 1882 (public domain image)

 

(6) GREEK-PERSIAN WARS (499-449 BC)

 

The classical Persian Wars – when the Greeks fought for their very existence as independent states against the imperial Persian superpower of the Achaemenid Empire, as an uneasy coalition of Greek city states fighting off two Persian invasions of Greece against the odds in the archetypal battles of classical Greek heroism.

That is not to overlook the Macedonian conquest of the Persian Empire featured in another top ten entry, or the longer Roman-Persian wars – through to the twilight of classical history, for nearly seven centuries from 54 BC to 628 AD, when the Romans fought their relentless slogging match against two successive Persian empires, the Parthians and the Sassanids.

Ultimately, however, the Roman-Persian Wars lack the existential significance of the Persian invasions of Greece, both to the classical Greeks and by extension Western civilization itself. It is difficult to imagine the shape of Western civilization, had the Persians succeeded in their invasions of Greece, particularly their second invasion, but it would have been immeasurably different.

Greek victories in the Persian Wars were certainly a defining moment for Athens and its democracy, as well as the Greeks as a whole – “their victory endowed the Greeks with a faith in their destiny that was to endure for three centuries, during which western culture was born”.

The Persian wars were also among the first wars in history to be written as history – by the creators of history as a genre, foremost among them Herodotus, styled as the father of history. They might also be argued to be the origin of Western military strategy and tactics – or at least the feature that was to recur so decisively as part of Western military superiority, the drilled formation, in this case the hoplite phalanx.

They also featured two of the landmark battles of history, won against the odds – Marathon and the naval battle of Salamis – as well as the heroic last stand of Thermopylae, the Spartan Alamo. Of course, as an Athenian loyalist, I’d point out that Marathon and Salamis were Athenian victories, as opposed to all that pro-Spartan agitprop of the 300 film, in which Leonidas breezily dismissed Athens.

Salamis was a particularly impressive Athenian victory, since they won it from exile after evacuating Athens itself, which was captured and razed by the Persians – choosing to carry on fighting from exile rather than submit to the Persians. This feat might be compared to the scenario if France had not surrendered to Germany in 1940, but had fought on with its fleet from north Africa – and won.

In terms of historical narrative, the first Persian invasion from 492 BC to 490 BC, under Darius the Great, was inconclusive with their defeat in the battle of Marathon…for the time being. Darius had to postpone a further invasion of Greece to fight strife within his own empire. When he died, his son and successor Xerxes took the second swing at Greece in earnest in an invasion from 480 to 479 BC, which was ultimately defeated at the battles of Plataea and Mycale.

After that, the Greeks were able to go on the offensive against the Persians in the Persian Empire itself, particularly in its formerly Greek fringes, but the Greek-Persian wars largely fizzled out from there with a return to the pre-war status quo by 449 BC, not unlike the persistent stalemate of the subsequent Roman-Persian Wars, although Greece was freed from the threat of Persian invasion. Of course, a lot of that was undone as the Persian Empire then learned to sit back and exploit the Greek city-states fighting among themselves, most notably in the Peloponnesian Wars.

 

ART OF WAR

 

The Greeks in the Persian Wars were almost exact contemporaries of Sun Tzu on the other side of the world, as the Persian Wars commenced a few years before the traditional date given to Sun Tzu’s death in 496 BC – and I’m inclined to favor the Greeks over Sun Tzu when it came to demonstrated art of war in actual history. Winning without fighting is all very well, but sometimes you have little choice but to fight – and to fight in desperate defence against numerically superior forces.

Hence the genius of Greek strategy, consistently fighting at geographical bottlenecks or chokepoints, including the straits of Salamis. Beyond that, the Greeks won because “they avoided catastrophic defeats, stuck to their alliance, took advantage of Persian mistakes” and possessed tactical superiority with their hoplite forces.

 

WORLD WAR

 

Sadly, I think it would be stretching things too far to call the Greek-Persian Wars a world war, even though the Greeks often styled it as the war of one continent against another or East against West, harking back to the legendary Trojan War as its predecessor – a continental front line that was replayed in the Roman-Persian Wars and beyond, as the Persians were replaced by Arabs and Turks.

 

FOREVER WAR –  STILL FIGHTING THE PERSIAN WARS

 

Well perhaps not in the style of the Greek or Macedonian Persian Wars, but Americans might feel they’ve been replaying the Roman-Persian Wars since 1979…

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

Yet another war where the actual outcome seems the implausible alternate history scenario or just outright miraculous – we all know the god Pan won the Battle of Marathon. Io Pan! Io Pan Pan!

I mean, the world’s largest empire in territorial extent at the time – as well as the largest empire by percentage of world population ever – against the small and fractious Greek city states? That’s n

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS VS BAD GUYS

 

Sorry Persia – I know you’re not the weird mutant army featured in the film 300 and indeed one of the great civilizations of ancient history, but the Greeks will always be the good guys to me

 

RATING: 4 STARS****
A-TIER (TOP TIER)

 

 

The Battle of Legnica (Liegnitz or Wahlstatt) on 9th April 1241 during the first Mongol invasion of Poland – copper engraving by Matthäus Merian the Elder 1630 (public domain image – Wikipedia “Mongol Invasions and Conquests”)

 

(5) MONGOL CONQUESTS –
MONGOL INVASION OF EUROPE (1236-1242)

 

The Mongols were essentially a horse blitzkrieg across Eurasia, achieving a mobility and speed on land, exceeded only by modern mobile warfare using the internal combustion engine.

The horse blitzkrieg was a recurring feature mounted (heh) by nomadic herding tribes, particularly by those from the steppes of central Asia, to such devastating effect against more sedentary or settled agricultural states throughout history. I can’t resist the memorable quote by the Pax Romana Youtube channel that “history is mostly a matter of hoping those psychos on horseback don’t attack this summer, steal the grain and take the slaves”.

None were more supremely effective at it than the Mongols, one of the most proficient and versatile military forces in history – one that was also supremely adaptable at coopting its conquered people for further conquests and for strategies of war beyond their horse blitzkrieg. It’s surprising how small the actual Mongol component was of their forces.

The founder of the Mongol Empire – Temujin, better known as Genghis Khan – was the best military and political leader of his era, or arguably any era. He succeeded in unifying the Mongol tribes as the nucleus of his empire, which at his death stretched from northern China through Central Asia to Iran and the outskirts of European Russia. In doing so, the Mongols conquered glittering states along the Silk Road in central Asia that barely anyone remembers because the Mongols wiped them out so thoroughly – the Khwaraziman Empire of Iran and the Qara Khitai.

However, it is the wars of his successors that are particularly fascinating to me as they advanced into almost every corner of Eurasia.

In the Middle East, they besieged and sacked Baghdad, the center of Islamic power for half a millennia, occupying as far as parts of Syria and Turkey, with raids advancing as far as Gaza in Palestine, where they were stopped in the battle of Ain Jalut by the Mamluks of Egypt.

In East Asia, the Mongols did not face a unified China but two warring states, the Jin in northern China and the Sung in southern China. Genghis had largely defeated the former – his successors finished it off and conquered the Sung as well. The latter was most famously by Kublai Khan – and in Xanadu did Kubla Khan a stately pleasure dome decree.

The Mongols also invaded Korea, Burma and Vietnam. It’s interesting to think of the Mongol Vietnam War, which as Vietnam Wars usually go, resulted in defeat for the Mongols. It’s also interesting, given the definitive horse blitzkrieg of the Mongols, that the Mongols launched naval invasions of Java and Japan, but perhaps not surprisingly neither did well – the latter giving rise to the Japanese word kamikaze or divine wind for the storms that scattered the Mongol invasion fleets.

However, I’m giving this entry to the campaigns of his successors most familiar to me from my Eurocentric perspective – the Mongol invasion of Europe, commanded in the field by one of the best Mongol generals, Subutai. The Mongols rolled over European Russia – over much of which they would remain ruling as the Golden Horde until the fifteenth century – and invaded central Europe, decisively defeating Poland and Hungary.

They were poised to strike into the heartland of Europe and the Holy Roman Empire, indeed raiding the latter (and the Balkans), with little to stop them but the English Channel – but fortunately for Europe, the Great Khan Ogedai died, so the Mongol armies withdrew back to Russia while their leaders returned to Mongolia to select the new Great Khan. Or so the story goes – historians vary on whether that was the true cause for the Mongols to desist from their invasion.

Even so, the Mongols continued to cast a long shadow of terror into Europe, reinforced by further raids in the thirteenth century (such that the raids of the 1280’s are sometimes styled as the second Mongol invasion) and fourteenth century.

And traumatizing Europeans with steak tartare, based on the popular legend of Mongol or ‘Tartar’ warriors tenderizing meat under their saddles and eating it at night after it had been ‘cooked’ by the heat and sweat from the horse.

 

ART OF WAR

 

Forget Sun Tzu – the true Art of War was written by Genghis Khan and the Mongols…in conquest. A friend and I used to observe the irony of Sun Tzu’s Art of War originating in China – a country that historically has gotten its ass kicked as often as not. (The same irony for Machiavelli’s The Prince originating in Italy – a country known for its political chaos).

But seriously – an army that conquered the world clearly excelled in the art of war. Ruling their conquests on the other hand…although in fairness any empire that size at that time was doomed to fragmentation.

 

WORLD WAR

 

The Mongol Conquests were nothing short of what should be described as a world war to create the largest contiguous land empire in history, and one that is still only exceeded by the British Empire – perhaps the most serious contender for the first true world war.

 

FOREVER WAR – STILL FIGHTING THE MONGOL CONQUESTS

 

One of the few wars we’re not still fighting, even though we live in a Mongol-made world. The rising Russian state, with long memories of the Golden Horde, saw to that by conquering the steppes and various residual khanates (into the nineteenth century), but arguably inheriting their legacy and former territory as the new horde.

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

The Mongol Conquests are an alternate history extravaganza, so incredibly exploding out of nowhere.

Well, perhaps not out of nowhere. The Mongols and the nomadic herding tribes on horseback in the Eurasian steppes consistently punched far above their weight in wealth or population until recently – as noted by military historians Azar Gat and John Keegan, as well as historian Walter Scheidel referring to this as the “steppe effect”.

Still, the Mongol Conquests are one of a select elite of wars that seem to hinge on one man as commander or conqueror, begging the alternate history question of the great man theory of history – what if that great man didn’t happen? Without Genghis Khan to unite the Mongols and lead them to empire, would the Mongol Conquests have ever begun?

And then there’s the other end of the Mongol Conquests, when the Mongols seem an unstoppable juggernaut, particularly in their invasions of Europe – could the Mongols have conquered Europe?

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS VS BAD GUYS

 

History has tended to overlook the positive or even progressive aspects of the Pax Mongolica – but it is also difficult to cast them as good guys, given the destruction they wrought, exceeding even the Second World War relative to world population.

 

RATINGS: 4 STARS****
A-TIER (TOP TIER)

 

Alexander the Great on his horse Bucephalus in the Battle of Issus against Darius III – from the Alexander mosaic in the House of the Faun, Pompeii (public domain image)

 

(4) ALEXANDER’S CONQUEST OF THE PERSIAN EMPIRE (336-323 BC)

 

The Macedonian-Persian Wars of my namesake, Alexander the Great – the one exception to actually defeat and conquer the Persian Empire among the various Persian Wars, those recurring definitive wars of classical history fought by Greeks and Romans against successive Persian Empires over a millennium.

Of course, that was because Alexander’s conquest of the Persian Empire involved one of the finest fighting forces in history, the Macedonian phalanx, led by one of finest military leaders of history, without a defeat to his name, usually against numerical odds. That’s right – I’m an Alexander the Great and Gaugamela fanboy.

In fairness, Alexander was lucky, particularly in the opening of his campaign against the Persian Empire – narrowly escaping death at the Battle of the Granicus River. As the saying goes however, fortune favors the bold and Alexander was certainly bold, indeed to the point of personal recklessness, while the Persians were unlucky with their emperor, Darius III, who seemed cautious to the point of cowardly, notoriously fleeing his two big set-piece battles with Alexander at Issus and Gaugamela.

In fairness, Alexander was also legendary. Unable to untie the legendary insoluble Gordian knot of which it was prophesied that whoever untied it would conquer Asia? No problem – just cut it with your sword and go on to conquer Asia.

Faced with threat of the Persian navy which can strike at Greece behind your lines? No problem – just conquer the coastline of the Persian empire. Where’s your navy now, Persia?

Darius offers to surrender half his empire to you and your wimpy general Parmenion says you should accept? Sneer at him “I would too, if I were you”, then proceed to demonstrate you’re Alexander the Great by conquering the other half as well, while showing the Persian emperor he can run but he can’t hide.

Alexander’s conquest of the Persian Empire is also one of those wars that I style as adventurous wars – wars that resemble or evoke a tale of epic adventure, charismatic leaders and small heroic bands of warriors fighting against the odds to win. Indeed, Alexander and his conquests became just that – a historical and legendary source for tales of epic adventure

“Alexander became legendary as a classical hero in the mould of Achilles, featuring prominently in the historical and mythical traditions of both Greek and non-Greek cultures. His military achievements and unprecedented enduring successes in battle made him the measure against which many later military leaders would compare themselves, and his tactics remain a significant subject of study”.

Other wars in my Top 10 Wars that might be similarly styled as ‘adventurous’ wars are the Mongol Conquests and the Spanish Conquest of the Americas – to which one might also add my special mentions for the Arab Conquests and Viking Invasions.

Of course, this sets aside the distinctly unadventurous nature of wars to those at the pointed end of their destruction, usually on the other side, but also those who end up as casualties on the same side. Alexander’s conquests were no exception – infamously, he personally killed Cleitus the Black in a drunken altercation, the man who had saved his life at Granicus.

Of those wars I’ve styled as adventurous wars, I’d have to rank the Spanish conquest the highest in terms of just how lopsided or overwhelming the numerical odds were against it (for the Aztecs and even more so the Incas), victories unparalleled in history, even by Alexander. That said, Alexander did face overwhelming odds against him and his Greek or Macedonian forces, both in individual battles and the conquest of the Persian Empire as a whole.

In fairness, Alexander also probably started in the best position of all the leaders in those adventurous wars, having inherited the Macedonian state and its phalanxes honed to one of the finest fighting forces in history by his father Philip – although on the other hand, it is hard to imagine that Philip or any other Macedonian leader had the audacity or acumen to achieve Alexander’s conquest of the whole Persian Empire.

 

ART OF WAR

 

Let’s face it – Alexander the Great would have kicked Sun Tzu’s ass, cutting through all that mystic Taoist poetry like the Gordian knot. I know it and you know it. Did I mention this as an Alexander the Great fan account?

 

WORLD WAR

 

I think it would be overstating to it to claim that Alexander the Great fought and won the first world war, but you know he would have kept going through India if his army hadn’t wimped out on him.

 

FOREVER WAR – STILL FIGHTING THE PERSIAN WARS

 

Alexander’s conquests might be done and dusted – indeed, pretty much after he died as so much relied on his personal charisma. However, the Persian empire was replaced by Greek kingdoms founded by Alexander’s generals, which would cast a long shadow in history even as they ultimately crumbled and the Persian empire rebooted against the Romans.

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

Alexander’s Conquest of the Persian Empire combines the alternate history extravaganza of those wars that hinge on one man as commander or conqueror, with those where the actual outcome seems the implausible alternative history scenario by winning against impossible odds.

Although both should not be overstated – Alexander was more fortunate than some of his fellow conquerors by inheriting his father’s kingdom and even more so the army his father had forged into the instrument of hegemonic power.

Stil, it is hard to imagine anyone other than Alexander with the audacity or ability to achieve the same conquests. What if there was no Alexander? There almost wasn’t, with his lucky escape from death in the Battle of Granicus River, which would have seen his historic conquests nipped in the bud.

At the other end, there is the alternative history scenarios of what Alexander might have achieved if he had not died at only 32 years of age at the height of his achievements.

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS VS BAD GUYS

 

Sorry Persia – I know you’re one of the great civilizations of ancient history, but the Greeks and Alexander the Great will always be the good guys to me.

 

RATING: 4 STARS*****
A-TIER (TOP-TIER)

 

 

Excerpt from Apocalypse Now, one of the most iconic Vietnam War films – with the ubiquitous helicopters that were one of the most iconic visual images of the war itself

 

(3) VIETNAM WAR (1954-1975)

 

The iconic twentieth century war after 1945 – as visual image in popular culture or imagination, and as metaphor and archetype in history or politics.

In terms of visual image in popular culture or imagination, Vietnam is a war most people can see in their mind’s eye, whether accurate or not. I have a theory that we all have a mythic or psychic geography of cities and landmarks we can see in our mind’s eye or psyche – and so too we each have a mythic or psychic history. And Vietnam looms large in our modern mythology.

It originates from the modern proliferation of visual images that inform our mythic or psychic geography and history – predominantly on screen in film or television. For Vietnam, there was the prevalence of images from the war itself, often stylized as the first war fought on television, which was a substantial part of why the American civilian population and government turned against it, as well as fictional depictions of it in American mass media and popular culture.

The imagery from the war itself endured beyond the defeat of the Americans or of South Vietnam in those fictional depictions, including my favorite film of all time, Apocalypse Now. As such, Vietnam lent itself to the most enduring iconic images of war in the twentieth century – the ubiquitous choppers or helicopters, the Viet Cong or Charlie, napalm, fragging, My Lai, Tet, the fall of Saigon, and so on.

And the endurance of the Vietnam War in history is also in large part because of its historical significance, not least because it continues as an enduring historical Rorschach test or metaphor. President Kennedy famously quipped that while victory has a thousand fathers, defeat is an orphan. Ironically, however, that quip doesn’t apply to Vietnam, where almost everyone seems to claim it as vindication for their own ideas or ideologies – although the only ones who might do so unequivocally would be the Vietnamese themselves.

Our entry here is for the Vietnam War involving the United States in varying levels of engagement from about 1954, with the height of its military engagement from about 1965 to 1972. However, that war was also the Second Indochina War, following almost directly from the First Indochina War 1945-1954 against the French colonial regime – and in turn followed by the Third Indochina War 1975-1991, primarily between Vietnam and Cambodia but also the brief Sino-Vietnamese War against Vietnam’s former Chinese ally. And arguably these are part of a long line of Vietnam Wars, dating back to Vietnamese resistance to Imperial China and the Mongols.

American historiography of the war often poses the questions of whether the war was justifiable or moral, and whether it was winnable – with a tendency to answer both questions in the negative, although that is clouded by the historical reality of defeat on one hand and parallels with the Korean War on the other. It’s as much a part of that historical Rorschach test as the rest of the war.

At very least, the Americans should have queried how they could improve upon the French defeat, let alone double down on it. In this, ironically, they lapsed into similar errors of military judgement as Germany in both world wars in their failure to understand the nature of war, which involved understanding the limitations of military force in war and limitations of national power in the world.

I’ve seen arguments, with various degrees of persuasive force although I have yet to be persuaded by them, as to how the United States might have “won” – interestingly, these seem to cluster either near its starting point or its finishing point, with the former being more persuasive for obvious reasons, although with the obvious counterpoint that not starting it at all may have been better yet.

Finally, as a historical archetype, Vietnam seems to combine most of the predominant threads of war in the twentieth century – anti-colonial war or war of independence, civil war, proxy war, and most famously above all, guerrilla war or insurgency, perhaps the definitive type of war in the twentieth century (and beyond).

 

ART OF WAR

 

It’s been famously said that the Americans won all the battles but lost the war. However, almost as famous is the Vietnamese rejoinder (to Col. Harry Summers Jr) – “That may be so. But it is also irrelevant.” And so it was, as for the Vietnamese, the Vietnam War was not about battles but winning the war – which was a matter of endurance or outlasting their adversary.

It, along with other successful modern insurgencies, has often led to observations of guerrilla warfare as synonymous with, or even definitive of the art of war. Not so much in pre-modern history – although it did occur in the right circumstances, you don’t tend to hear too much of successful guerrilla warfare, because states were prepared to wipe out or displace entire populations to eliminate resistance.

However, counter-insurgency in modern warfare is notoriously tricky. There is arguably a modern, smart way of winning against insurgency, or there remains the more brutal way, but few modern states have demonstrated the means or above all patience to achieve the former without invariably lapsing into the latter or something resembling it. Just ask the Americans about the coup against Diem, My Lai, the bombing, napalm, Agent Orange or the Phoenix program.

Of course, insurgency can be tricky as well. After all, what do you do with all your forces while you are avoiding all those battles – but at the same time hoping to expand your political control? Insurgencies often default to a brutal answer – killing civilians. You know, those civilian collaborators or representatives of your enemy. Even those insurgencies seen as the “good” ones. Just ask the city of Hue during the Tet Offensive.

 

WORLD WAR

 

Vietnam as world war? Surely not? Although even in strict terms of combat, Vietnam was not that localized as a battlefield. It was after all the Indochina War – expanding to Laos and Cambodia, while also involving China and Thailand at its borders.

Beyond that, it evolved from being part of one world war to another. The Vietnamese resistance to French colonialism was caught up in the Second World War – involving Americans, Chinese, Japanese and British one way or another in Indochina. And after the Second World War, the Americans sponsored the French in the First Indochina War, before becoming involved more directly in the Second Indochina War after France was defeated. And that was part of the larger cold war – with the Soviet Union and China provided substantial aid or forces to North Vietnam, while Australia, South Korea and the Philippines all provided combat forces to support the Americans and South Vietnam.

 

FOREVER WAR – STILL FIGHTING THE VIETNAM WAR

 

The stereotypical Vietnam veteran is or was often depicted as “still fighting the Vietnam War” – I’m not sure to what extent that stereotype is accurate, such as whether they may have had disproportionately high rates of PTSD. Beyond that, the Vietnam War cast a long shadow, particularly with refugees and persistent allegations of MIAs or prisoners retained by Vietnam.

For the actual Vietnam War, we’re not still fighting it. If anything, Vietnam is probably more positive or even a potential ally towards the United States than it is to its former ally, China.

But for the Vietnam War as enduring imagery, metaphor and archetype, we’re still fighting the Vietnam War – with new wars constantly being compared to it.

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

My top ten entry second only to the American Indian Wars for the seeming inevitability of its historical outcome, particularly with hindsight of similar American failures or defeats since, most notably the Afghanistan War that eerily echoes it.

Indeed, the more plausible alternative history scenarios usually propose the United States not being engaged or involved in it at all, or at least in lesser degrees of engagement or involvement. Military historian H.P. Willmott opines that fighting a limited war necessarily involves accepting the possibility of defeat as one of the limitations.

As I noted, some American historiography does pose the question of whether the war was winnable, usually overlapping with the question of whether it was justifiable or moral – and usually with a tendency to answer both questions in the negative. I’ve seen scenarios argued with various degrees of plausibility as to how the United States might have “won”, clustered either near its starting point or its finishing point, with the former being more persuasive for obvious reasons, although with the obvious counterpoint that not starting it at all may have been better yet.

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS AND BAD GUYS

 

Defeat may be more an orphan – and never more so than in terms of morality for the defeated. Not many people these days tend to argue for the Americans as the good guys, although that begs the question of how one distinguishes it from, say, the Korean War, which tends not to be seen in the same terms.

 

RATING: 5 STARS*****

S-TIER (GOD TIER)

 

NATO vs Warsaw Pact 1949-1990 by Discombobulates for Wikipedia “Cold War” under licence https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/deed.en

 

(2) COLD WAR (1945-1991)

 

Cold War? Can I get a Cool War instead?

The Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union that defined much of the twentieth century, where the logic of avoiding directly fighting each other was reinforced by the mutually assured destruction of nuclear weapons.

Cold wars are a recurring theme in history. Even before modern firepower or nuclear weapons, states often sought to avoid outright war with other states, particularly where they were evenly matched. Wars are costly and destructive, especially big or long wars of attrition, and even when you win, you often still lose. There’s a reason Pyrrhic victory is a term.

Of course, the majority of wars in history have been hot wars, in which states have actively fought each other, but even those have often been preceded or punctuated by periods of cold war, albeit where the participants often maneuvered against each other for advantage.

The period from 1933 to 1939 might be regarded as a three-sided cold war before the biggest hot war in history, in which Nazi Germany and other fascist states, the western democracies, and the Soviet Union all maneuvered with or against each other.

The Great Game between the British and Russian empires in the nineteenth to twentieth centuries might be regarded as another cold war. Indeed, in many ways the Cold War replayed much of the same territory, literally and metaphorically.

The Roman-Persian Wars obviously did not persist for six centuries entirely as active fighting or hot war, but were punctuated by cold war. Indeed, the Romans and Persians might well have paid more heed to cold war logic of avoiding directly fighting each other, since their exhaustion from war led to their defeat or conquest by the new antagonist of the Arabs under the banner of Islam.

The Greek-Persian Wars offer a better example of cold war, although there the cold war logic for the Persians arose from their costly defeats at the hands of the Greeks. Indeed, the Persians arguably did much better in their cold war strategy of supporting the Greek city states fighting each other.

Of course, that might be said of cold war strategies in general, with states doing better than they would directly fighting their antagonists. Imperial Germany would have done better if it had waged cold war rather than world war, as would have any successor that showed more restraint or strategy than the Nazi regime.

But of course, there’s no cold war like the Cold War.

The narrative of the Cold War could be the subject of its own top ten (or several) and is well known even through the lens of popular culture. Its origins extend all the way back to 1917 with the formation of the first communist regime that would remain one of its two principal antagonists, the Soviet Union.

However, its immediate origin and primary front was in Europe after the Second World War, once the defeat of Germany removed the common enemy of the two powers left standing as superpowers, the United States and the Soviet Union. The former allies preserved some of their wartime cooperation until the defeat of Japan, which then saw Asia open as the second and far more active front in the Cold War, particularly after the victory of the communist regime in China in 1949.

Ironically, while Europe remained the primary front, that took the form of the two rival alliances, NATO and the Warsaw Pact, besieging each other while deterred from making the cold war hot by the mutually assured destruction of nuclear war – that is, apart from the Soviet Union’s military intervention to suppress rebellions in or by its Warsaw Pact allies.

From Europe and Asia, the arenas of Cold War contest spread throughout the world, far more pervasively than the world wars ever did in every way but for direct and open military combat between the United States and the Soviet Union.

The Cold War might further be divided into phases, with one of the more common proposing the last part of the Cold War from the 1970s or 1980s as the Second Cold War. That last part, from the 1970s or 1980s to 1991 saw the United States regain the upper hand or superiority in the Cold War, not least by a de facto alliance with China after the Sino-Soviet split, ultimately to win it with the collapse of communist regimes throughout the Warsaw Pact as well as the collapse of the Soviet Union itself.

The upper hand of the United States at the end of the Cold War mirrored the upper hand or superiority it had at the start, broadly speaking from the 1940s to the early 1960s. The nadir of American Cold War fortunes came in the 1960s and 1970s, when the United States was at more of a disadvantage and the Soviet Union achieved strategic nuclear parity. Those decades were also the high-water mark for the Soviet Union and the extent or reach of its global influence.

 

ART OF WAR

 

Ironically, cold war strategy is the essence of the art of war of winning without fighting. Which the Americans and their allies did, although not without some lapses on their part – most notably land wars in Asia. Indeed, it might be said the Second World War and Cold War were the peak of the American art of war.

Although I’m not sure what Sun Tzu would have thought of his art of war being applied from the logic of nuclear weapons and mutually assured destruction.

 

WORLD WAR

 

Not least in how pervasive it was, both in the forms of its conflict, including hot wars by proxy, and its extent (as well as its stakes, that threatened the world itself). The Cold War extended through more of the world than the Second World War, which had largely left sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America unaffected, although ironically not so much Europe, despite the masses of military force the opposing sides gathered there

 

FOREVER WAR – STILL FIGHTING THE WAR

 

We’re all Cold Warriors now. Not against the Soviet Union of course but pundits always seem to be declaring the new or next cold war.

Also the same logic of avoiding direct fighting has persisted even after the end of the Cold War, such that it might be regarded as the default standard of modern conflict. Of course it looms largest between nuclear-armed states, but also arises from just how costly it is to deploy modern firepower, or even to engage in low-level conflicts against insurgencies or guerilla combatants.

 

ALTERNATE WAR – COLD WAR

 

The Cold War is something of an alternate history scenario paradox. On the one hand, its historical outcome of American victory also seems the most plausible, particularly with American superiority at the start and end of the Cold War.

On the other hand, the Cold War offers a plethora of alternative history scenarios. Even in terms of its outcome of American victory, in a conflict extending for half a century (or longer if you calculate it from the formation of the Soviet Union in 1917), there’s a lot of scope for American miscalculations or mistakes, more or greater than those that occurred in history, to potentially affect that outcome.

That’s particularly so for the middle of the Cold War in the 1960s and 1970s, when the United States was at its greatest disadvantage relative to the Soviet Union, but also applies even for American superiority at the start or end of the Cold War – at least as to whether the United States could have improved upon the historical outcome, or whether the Soviet Union could have avoided collapse.

Some pose the question of whether either or both the United States and Soviet Union could have avoided the Cold War altogether.

Uniquely among my top ten entries (and for all but a handful of wars in contemporary history), the Cold War also has alternate history scenarios where everybody loses – the scenario of the Cold War turning hot with a nuclear exchange.

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS VS BAD GUYS

 

I’ve always been a Cold Warrior – as in believing in the morality of its cause and the necessity of its purpose as a war that needed to be fought, although not necessarily in all aspects of the way that it was fought.

So…USA! USA! USA!

 

RATING: 5 STARS*****

S-TIER (GOD TIER)

 

Taxis to Hell – and Back – Into the Jaws of Death, an iconic image of men of the 16th Infantry Regiment, US 1st Infantry Division wading ashore from their landing craft on Omaha Beach on the morning of D-Day, 6 June 1944, public domain image photographed by Chief Photographer’s Mate (CPHoM) Robert F. Sargent (and used in Wikipedia “Normandy landings”)

 

(1) SECOND WORLD WAR (1939-1945)

 

Yes – it’s the big one. The Cold War may have threatened to be bigger, but there are no world wars to rival the wars that are officially known as such, particularly the Second World War, which was more destructive, extensive and pervasive than the First, despite largely being a continuation of it.

The narrative of WW2 is worthy of its own top ten and is well known, even in popular culture and imagination, albeit often distorted or sensationalized. It featured almost every aspect of modern warfare, while remaining unique in others – not least being fought to a conclusive result and destruction of enemy states rarely paralleled in modern history.

My favorite historian of it – H.P. Willmott – has quipped that, paradoxically, WW2 might be regarded as the last war of the 19th century and WW1 was the first war of the 20th century. I understand that to mean WW2 was closer to 19th century wars, in part because the technology and technique of offensive mobility won out over defensive firepower and attrition – briefly and with waning effect through the war’s duration – while its predecessor was more characteristic of 20th century wars that followed it.

Or alternatively, WW2 was closer to the model of the Franco-Prussian War, at least in its European opening, or the Napoleonic Wars in its continuation within Europe. On the other hand, WW1 was closer to the American Civil War as the true precursor of twentieth century warfare, with the western front of the latter resembling the eastern theater of the latter, only with even more lethal firepower. Indeed, WW1 is sometimes dubbed a European Civil War. It’s a pity that European powers, particularly Germany, seemed to have reflected less on the American Civil War than the Franco-Prussian War for future wars.

Ironically, however, WW1 finished by armistice in a manner closer to the Franco-Prussian War except with France and Germany reversed, while the WW2 was fought to unconditional surrender like the American Civil War. For that matter, H.P. Willmott has also observed that the war of the United States against Japan in WW2 uncannily resembled the former’s war against the Confederacy.

And speaking of the United States, my own quip is that the Second World War is the American Iliad, while the Cold War is the American Odyssey. USA! USA! USA!

 

ART OF WAR

 

The theme of H.P. Willmott’s The Great Crusade – the best single-volume history of the war – is the refutation of the popular myth of German military excellence. As he paraphrased Oscar Wilde, to lose one world war may be regarded as misfortune, to lose both looks like carelessness.

Contrary to the art of war, Germany military genius lay in fighting, not in war. When it came to understanding war and waging it, Germany was hopelessly outclassed by the Allies – a situation shared by Germany’s ally Japan. All Germany managed to achieve in two world wars was its encirclement and attrition by enemies with superior resources.

 

WORLD WAR

 

Well, obviously.

 

FOREVER WAR – STILL FIGHTING THE SECOND WORLD WAR

 

Not so obviously – although the two world wars were essentially Europe’s new Thirty Years War 1914-1945. And of course beyond that, there was the cold war – such that some historians have classed both world wars and the Cold War as the Long War 1914-1991. And beyond that…

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

Yes – it’s the big one for alternate war…and it isn’t.

Alternate history scenarios for German victory in the Second World War are the most prolific and popular of all alternate history scenarios – in fiction, such that it has whole anthologies and its own entry in the Encyclopedia of Science Fiction.

And yet, such alternate history scenarios seem so much less plausible than the actual historical outcome of Allied victory – so much so that German victory seems an incredible long shot from the outset, only getting longer the further you go into the war. Indeed, the more plausible alternate history scenarios would seem to involve the Allies doing better than they actually did, even posing the historical question of how the Germans were able to do anywhere near as well as they did – including how they were even able to get to the position they could start the war at all. For that matter, the most plausible alternate history scenarios of German “victory” are those that involve Germany not fighting the war in the first place.

There are alternate history scenarios for Japanese victory in the Second World War but they tend to be only as a consequence or side effect of German victory – often with things looking grim between the two of them after their shared victory (as in The Man in the High Castle, where Germany is planning to attack Japan).

As for alternate history scenarios for Italian victory…I’ll just leave it here like the joke it is. Come to think of it, the whole Axis seems like set-up for a joke, albeit with a black sense of humor for its casualties and destruction – “Germany, Italy, and Japan walk into a war…”

And really, Germany should not regard itself as all that different from Italy when it comes to alternate history victory scenarios – as I like to quip, paraphrasing the witticism that the Soviet Union was just Upper Volta with rockets in the Cold War, Nazi Germany was just Italy with rockets in the Second World War.

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS VS BAD GUYS

 

Again, well obviously – with WW2 probably the closest example in history to an actual war in black and white moral terms. To quote Bart Simpson, there are no good wars, with the following exceptions – the American Revolution, World War Two and the Star Wars trilogy.

 

RATING: 5 STARS*****

S-TIER (GOD TIER)

 

 

 

 

TOP 10 WARS: TIER LIST

 

S-TIER (GOD TIER)

(1) SECOND WORLD WAR
(2) COLD WAR
(3) VIETNAM WAR

 

If the Second World War is my Old Testament of war, the Cold War is my New Testament – and the Vietnam War is my apocalypse…now (heh)

Alternatively, the Second World War is my Iliad and the Cold War is my Odyssey – as they are for the US, with WW2 as the American Iliad and the Cold War as the American Odyssey

 

A-TIER (TOP TIER)

(4) ALEXANDER’S CONQUESTS OF PERSIAN EMPIRE
(5) MONGOL CONQUESTS INVASION OF EUROPE
(6) GREEK-PERSIAN WARS
(7) PUNIC WARS – SECOND PUNIC WAR
(8) HUNNIC WARS – INVASION OF ROMAN EMPIRE
(9) SPANISH CONQUEST – AZTEC EMPIRE
(10) AMERICAN INDIAN WARS – SIOUX WARS

Top Tens – History: Top 10 Wars (Revamped): (1) Second World War

 

Taxis to Hell – and Back – Into the Jaws of Death, an iconic image of men of the 16th Infantry Regiment, US 1st Infantry Division wading ashore from their landing craft on Omaha Beach on the morning of D-Day, 6 June 1944, public domain image photographed by Chief Photographer’s Mate (CPHoM) Robert F. Sargent (and used in Wikipedia “Normandy landings”)

 

(1) SECOND WORLD WAR (1939-1945)

 

Yes – it’s the big one. The Cold War may have threatened to be bigger, but there are no world wars to rival the wars that are officially known as such, particularly the Second World War, which was more destructive, extensive and pervasive than the First, despite largely being a continuation of it.

The narrative of WW2 is worthy of its own top ten and is well known, even in popular culture and imagination, albeit often distorted or sensationalized. It featured almost every aspect of modern warfare, while remaining unique in others – not least being fought to a conclusive result and destruction of enemy states rarely paralleled in modern history.

My favorite historian of it – H.P. Willmott – has quipped that, paradoxically, WW2 might be regarded as the last war of the 19th century and WW1 was the first war of the 20th century. I understand that to mean WW2 was closer to 19th century wars, in part because the technology and technique of offensive mobility won out over defensive firepower and attrition – briefly and with waning effect through the war’s duration – while its predecessor was more characteristic of 20th century wars that followed it.

Or alternatively, WW2 was closer to the model of the Franco-Prussian War, at least in its European opening, or the Napoleonic Wars in its continuation within Europe. On the other hand, WW1 was closer to the American Civil War as the true precursor of twentieth century warfare, with the western front of the latter resembling the eastern theater of the latter, only with even more lethal firepower. Indeed, WW1 is sometimes dubbed a European Civil War. It’s a pity that European powers, particularly Germany, seemed to have reflected less on the American Civil War than the Franco-Prussian War for future wars.

Ironically, however, WW1 finished by armistice in a manner closer to the Franco-Prussian War except with France and Germany reversed, while the WW2 was fought to unconditional surrender like the American Civil War. For that matter, H.P. Willmott has also observed that the war of the United States against Japan in WW2 uncannily resembled the former’s war against the Confederacy.

And speaking of the United States, my own quip is that the Second World War is the American Iliad, while the Cold War is the American Odyssey. USA! USA! USA!

 

ART OF WAR

 

The theme of H.P. Willmott’s The Great Crusade – the best single-volume history of the war – is the refutation of the popular myth of German military excellence. As he paraphrased Oscar Wilde, to lose one world war may be regarded as misfortune, to lose both looks like carelessness.

Contrary to the art of war, Germany military genius lay in fighting, not in war. When it came to understanding war and waging it, Germany was hopelessly outclassed by the Allies – a situation shared by Germany’s ally Japan. All Germany managed to achieve in two world wars was its encirclement and attrition by enemies with superior resources.

 

WORLD WAR

 

Well, obviously.

 

FOREVER WAR – STILL FIGHTING THE SECOND WORLD WAR

 

Not so obviously – although the two world wars were essentially Europe’s new Thirty Years War 1914-1945. And of course beyond that, there was the cold war – such that some historians have classed both world wars and the Cold War as the Long War 1914-1991. And beyond that…

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

Yes – it’s the big one for alternate war…and it isn’t.

Alternate history scenarios for German victory in the Second World War are the most prolific and popular of all alternate history scenarios – in fiction, such that it has whole anthologies and its own entry in the Encyclopedia of Science Fiction.

And yet, such alternate history scenarios seem so much less plausible than the actual historical outcome of Allied victory – so much so that German victory seems an incredible long shot from the outset, only getting longer the further you go into the war. Indeed, the more plausible alternate history scenarios would seem to involve the Allies doing better than they actually did, even posing the historical question of how the Germans were able to do anywhere near as well as they did – including how they were even able to get to the position they could start the war at all. For that matter, the most plausible alternate history scenarios of German “victory” are those that involve Germany not fighting the war in the first place.

There are alternate history scenarios for Japanese victory in the Second World War but they tend to be only as a consequence or side effect of German victory – often with things looking grim between the two of them after their shared victory (as in The Man in the High Castle, where Germany is planning to attack Japan).

As for alternate history scenarios for Italian victory…I’ll just leave it here like the joke it is. Come to think of it, the whole Axis seems like set-up for a joke, albeit with a black sense of humor for its casualties and destruction – “Germany, Italy, and Japan walk into a war…”

And really, Germany should not regard itself as all that different from Italy when it comes to alternate history victory scenarios – as I like to quip, paraphrasing the witticism that the Soviet Union was just Upper Volta with rockets in the Cold War, Nazi Germany was just Italy with rockets in the Second World War.

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS VS BAD GUYS

 

Again, well obviously – with WW2 probably the closest example in history to an actual war in black and white moral terms. To quote Bart Simpson, there are no good wars, with the following exceptions – the American Revolution, World War Two and the Star Wars trilogy.

 

RATING: 5 STARS*****

S-TIER (GOD TIER)

 

Top Tens – History: Top 10 Wars (Revamped) (2) Cold War

 

NATO vs Warsaw Pact 1949-1990 by Discombobulates for Wikipedia “Cold War” under licence https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/deed.en

 

(2) COLD WAR (1945-1991)

 

Cold War? Can I get a Cool War instead?

The Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union that defined much of the twentieth century, where the logic of avoiding directly fighting each other was reinforced by the mutually assured destruction of nuclear weapons.

Cold wars are a recurring theme in history. Even before modern firepower or nuclear weapons, states often sought to avoid outright war with other states, particularly where they were evenly matched. Wars are costly and destructive, especially big or long wars of attrition, and even when you win, you often still lose. There’s a reason Pyrrhic victory is a term.

Of course, the majority of wars in history have been hot wars, in which states have actively fought each other, but even those have often been preceded or punctuated by periods of cold war, albeit where the participants often maneuvered against each other for advantage.

The period from 1933 to 1939 might be regarded as a three-sided cold war before the biggest hot war in history, in which Nazi Germany and other fascist states, the western democracies, and the Soviet Union all maneuvered with or against each other.

The Great Game between the British and Russian empires in the nineteenth to twentieth centuries might be regarded as another cold war. Indeed, in many ways the Cold War replayed much of the same territory, literally and metaphorically.

The Roman-Persian Wars obviously did not persist for six centuries entirely as active fighting or hot war, but were punctuated by cold war. Indeed, the Romans and Persians might well have paid more heed to cold war logic of avoiding directly fighting each other, since their exhaustion from war led to their defeat or conquest by the new antagonist of the Arabs under the banner of Islam.

The Greek-Persian Wars offer a better example of cold war, although there the cold war logic for the Persians arose from their costly defeats at the hands of the Greeks. Indeed, the Persians arguably did much better in their cold war strategy of supporting the Greek city states fighting each other.

Of course, that might be said of cold war strategies in general, with states doing better than they would directly fighting their antagonists. Imperial Germany would have done better if it had waged cold war rather than world war, as would have any successor that showed more restraint or strategy than the Nazi regime.

But of course, there’s no cold war like the Cold War.

The narrative of the Cold War could be the subject of its own top ten (or several) and is well known even through the lens of popular culture. Its origins extend all the way back to 1917 with the formation of the first communist regime that would remain one of its two principal antagonists, the Soviet Union.

However, its immediate origin and primary front was in Europe after the Second World War, once the defeat of Germany removed the common enemy of the two powers left standing as superpowers, the United States and the Soviet Union. The former allies preserved some of their wartime cooperation until the defeat of Japan, which then saw Asia open as the second and far more active front in the Cold War, particularly after the victory of the communist regime in China in 1949.

Ironically, while Europe remained the primary front, that took the form of the two rival alliances, NATO and the Warsaw Pact, besieging each other while deterred from making the cold war hot by the mutually assured destruction of nuclear war – that is, apart from the Soviet Union’s military intervention to suppress rebellions in or by its Warsaw Pact allies.

From Europe (and the Middle East) and Asia, the arenas of Cold War contest spread throughout the world, far more pervasively than the world wars ever did in every way but for direct and open military combat between the United States and the Soviet Union.

The Cold War might further be divided into phases, with one of the more common proposing the last part of the Cold War from the 1970s or 1980s as the Second Cold War. That last part, from the 1970s or 1980s to 1991 saw the United States regain the upper hand or superiority in the Cold War, not least by a de facto alliance with China after the Sino-Soviet split, ultimately to win it with the collapse of communist regimes throughout the Warsaw Pact as well as the collapse of the Soviet Union itself.

The upper hand of the United States at the end of the Cold War mirrored the upper hand or superiority it had at the start, broadly speaking from the 1940s to the early 1960s. The nadir of American Cold War fortunes came in the 1960s and 1970s, when the United States was at more of a disadvantage and the Soviet Union achieved strategic nuclear parity. Those decades were also the high-water mark for the Soviet Union and the extent or reach of its global influence.

 

ART OF WAR

 

Ironically, cold war strategy is the essence of the art of war of winning without fighting. Which the Americans and their allies did, although not without some lapses on their part – most notably land wars in Asia. Indeed, it might be said the Second World War and Cold War were the peak of the American art of war.

Although I’m not sure what Sun Tzu would have thought of his art of war being applied from the logic of nuclear weapons and mutually assured destruction.

 

WORLD WAR

 

Not least in how pervasive it was, both in the forms of its conflict, including hot wars by proxy, and its extent (as well as its stakes, that threatened the world itself). The Cold War extended through more of the world than the Second World War, which had largely left sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America unaffected, although ironically not so much Europe, despite the masses of military force the opposing sides gathered there

 

FOREVER WAR – STILL FIGHTING THE WAR

 

We’re all Cold Warriors now. Not against the Soviet Union of course but pundits always seem to be declaring the new or next cold war.

Also the same logic of avoiding direct fighting has persisted even after the end of the Cold War, such that it might be regarded as the default standard of modern conflict. Of course it looms largest between nuclear-armed states, but also arises from just how costly it is to deploy modern firepower, or even to engage in low-level conflicts against insurgencies or guerilla combatants.

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

The Cold War is something of an alternate history scenario paradox. On the one hand, its historical outcome of American victory also seems the most plausible, particularly with American superiority at the start and end of the Cold War.

On the other hand, the Cold War offers a plethora of alternative history scenarios. Even in terms of its outcome of American victory, in a conflict extending for half a century (or longer if you calculate it from the formation of the Soviet Union in 1917), there’s a lot of scope for American miscalculations or mistakes, more or greater than those that occurred in history, to potentially affect that outcome.

That’s particularly so for the middle of the Cold War in the 1960s and 1970s, when the United States was at its greatest disadvantage relative to the Soviet Union, but also applies even for American superiority at the start or end of the Cold War – at least as to whether the United States could have improved upon the historical outcome, or whether the Soviet Union could have avoided collapse.

Some pose the question of whether either or both the United States and Soviet Union could have avoided the Cold War altogether.

Uniquely among my top ten entries (and for all but a handful of wars in contemporary history), the Cold War also has those alternate history scenarios where everybody loses – the scenario of the Cold War turning hot with a nuclear exchange.

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS VS BAD GUYS

 

I’ve always been a Cold Warrior – as in believing in the morality of its cause and the necessity of its purpose as a war that needed to be fought, although not necessarily in all aspects of the way that it was fought.

So…USA! USA! USA!

 

RATING: 5 STARS*****

S-TIER (GOD TIER)

Top Tens – History: Top 10 Wars (Revamped) (3) Vietnam War

 

Excerpt from Apocalypse Now, one of the most iconic Vietnam War films – with the ubiquitous helicopters that were one of the most iconic visual images of the war itself

 

(3) VIETNAM WAR (1954-1975)

 

The iconic twentieth century war after 1945 – as visual image in popular culture or imagination, and as metaphor and archetype in history or politics.

In terms of visual image in popular culture or imagination, Vietnam is a war most people can see in their mind’s eye, whether accurate or not. I have a theory that we all have a mythic or psychic geography of cities and landmarks we can see in our mind’s eye or psyche – and so too we each have a mythic or psychic history. And Vietnam looms large in our modern mythology.

It originates from the modern proliferation of visual images that inform our mythic or psychic geography and history – predominantly on screen in film or television. For Vietnam, there was the prevalence of images from the war itself, often stylized as the first war fought on television, which was a substantial part of why the American civilian population and government turned against it, as well as fictional depictions of it in American mass media and popular culture.

The imagery from the war itself endured beyond the defeat of the Americans or of South Vietnam in those fictional depictions, including my favorite film of all time, Apocalypse Now. As such, Vietnam lent itself to the most enduring iconic images of war in the twentieth century – the ubiquitous choppers or helicopters, the Viet Cong or Charlie, napalm, fragging, My Lai, Tet, the fall of Saigon, and so on.

And the endurance of the Vietnam War in history is also in large part because of its historical significance, not least because it continues as an enduring historical Rorschach test or metaphor. President Kennedy famously quipped that while victory has a thousand fathers, defeat is an orphan. Ironically, however, that quip doesn’t apply to Vietnam, where almost everyone seems to claim it as vindication for their own ideas or ideologies – although the only ones who might do so unequivocally would be the Vietnamese themselves.

Our entry here is for the Vietnam War involving the United States in varying levels of engagement from about 1954, with the height of its military engagement from about 1965 to 1972. However, that war was also the Second Indochina War, following almost directly from the First Indochina War 1945-1954 against the French colonial regime – and in turn followed by the Third Indochina War 1975-1991, primarily between Vietnam and Cambodia but also the brief Sino-Vietnamese War against Vietnam’s former Chinese ally. And arguably these are part of a long line of Vietnam Wars, dating back to Vietnamese resistance to Imperial China and the Mongols.

American historiography of the war often poses the questions of whether the war was justifiable or moral, and whether it was winnable – with a tendency to answer both questions in the negative, although that is clouded by the historical reality of defeat on one hand and parallels with the Korean War on the other. It’s as much a part of that historical Rorschach test as the rest of the war.

At very least, the Americans should have queried how they could improve upon the French defeat, let alone double down on it. In this, ironically, they lapsed into similar errors of military judgement as Germany in both world wars in their failure to understand the nature of war, which involved understanding the limitations of military force in war and limitations of national power in the world.

I’ve seen arguments, with various degrees of persuasive force although I have yet to be persuaded by them, as to how the United States might have “won” – interestingly, these seem to cluster either near its starting point or its finishing point, with the former being more persuasive for obvious reasons, although with the obvious counterpoint that not starting it at all may have been better yet.

Finally, as a historical archetype, Vietnam seems to combine most of the predominant threads of war in the twentieth century – anti-colonial war or war of independence, civil war, proxy war, and most famously above all, guerrilla war or insurgency, perhaps the definitive type of war in the twentieth century (and beyond).

 

ART OF WAR

 

It’s been famously said that the Americans won all the battles but lost the war. However, almost as famous is the Vietnamese rejoinder (to Col. Harry Summers Jr) – “That may be so. But it is also irrelevant.” And so it was, as for the Vietnamese, the Vietnam War was not about battles but winning the war – which was a matter of endurance or outlasting their adversary.

It, along with other successful modern insurgencies, has often led to observations of guerrilla warfare as synonymous with, or even definitive of the art of war. Not so much in pre-modern history – although it did occur in the right circumstances, you don’t tend to hear too much of successful guerrilla warfare, because states were prepared to wipe out or displace entire populations to eliminate resistance.

However, counter-insurgency in modern warfare is notoriously tricky. There is arguably a modern, smart way of winning against insurgency, or there remains the more brutal way, but few modern states have demonstrated the means or above all patience to achieve the former without invariably lapsing into the latter or something resembling it. Just ask the Americans about the coup against Diem, My Lai, the bombing, napalm, Agent Orange or the Phoenix program.

Of course, insurgency can be tricky as well. After all, what do you do with all your forces while you are avoiding all those battles – but at the same time hoping to expand your political control? Insurgencies often default to a brutal answer – killing civilians. You know, those civilian collaborators or representatives of your enemy. Even those insurgencies seen as the “good” ones. Just ask the city of Hue during the Tet Offensive.

 

WORLD WAR

 

Vietnam as world war? Surely not? Although even in strict terms of combat, Vietnam was not that localized as a battlefield. It was after all the Indochina War – expanding to Laos and Cambodia, while also involving China and Thailand at its borders.

Beyond that, it evolved from being part of one world war to another. The Vietnamese resistance to French colonialism was caught up in the Second World War – involving Americans, Chinese, Japanese and British one way or another in Indochina. And after the Second World War, the Americans sponsored the French in the First Indochina War, before becoming involved more directly in the Second Indochina War after France was defeated. And that was part of the larger cold war – with the Soviet Union and China provided substantial aid or forces to North Vietnam, while Australia, South Korea and the Philippines all provided combat forces to support the Americans and South Vietnam.

 

FOREVER WAR – STILL FIGHTING THE VIETNAM WAR

 

The stereotypical Vietnam veteran is or was often depicted as “still fighting the Vietnam War” – I’m not sure to what extent that stereotype is accurate, such as whether they may have had disproportionately high rates of PTSD. Beyond that, the Vietnam War cast a long shadow, particularly with refugees and persistent allegations of MIAs or prisoners retained by Vietnam.

For the actual Vietnam War, we’re not still fighting it. If anything, Vietnam is probably more positive or even a potential ally towards the United States than it is to its former ally, China.

But for the Vietnam War as enduring imagery, metaphor and archetype, we’re still fighting the Vietnam War – with new wars constantly being compared to it.

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

My top ten entry second only to the American Indian Wars for the seeming inevitability of its historical outcome, particularly with hindsight of American failures or defeats since, most notably the Afghanistan War that eerily echoed it.

Indeed, the more plausible alternative history scenarios usually propose the United States not being engaged or involved in it at all, or at least in lesser degrees of engagement or involvement. Military historian H.P. Willmott opines that fighting a limited war necessarily involves accepting the possibility of defeat as one of the limitations.

As I noted, some American historiography does pose the question of whether the war was winnable, usually overlapping with the question of whether it was justifiable or moral – and usually with a tendency to answer both questions in the negative. I’ve seen scenarios argued with various degrees of plausibility as to how the United States might have “won”, clustered either near its starting point or its finishing point, with the former being more persuasive for obvious reasons, although with the obvious counterpoint that not starting it at all may have been better yet.

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS AND BAD GUYS

 

Defeat may be more an orphan – and never more so than in terms of morality for the defeated. Not many people these days tend to argue for the Americans as the good guys, although that begs the question of how one distinguishes it from, say, the Korean War, which tends not to be seen in the same terms.

 

RATING: 5 STARS*****

S-TIER (GOD TIER)

Top Tens – History: Top 10 Wars (Revamped) (4) Alexander’s Conquest of the Persian Empire

 

Alexander the Great on his horse Bucephalus in the Battle of Issus against Darius III – from the Alexander mosaic in the House of the Faun, Pompeii (public domain image)

 

(4) ALEXANDER’S CONQUEST OF THE PERSIAN EMPIRE (336-323 BC)

 

The Macedonian-Persian Wars of my namesake, Alexander the Great – the one exception to actually defeat and conquer the Persian Empire among the various Persian Wars, those recurring definitive wars of classical history fought by Greeks and Romans against successive Persian Empires over a millennium.

Of course, that was because Alexander’s conquest of the Persian Empire involved one of the finest fighting forces in history, the Macedonian phalanx, led by one of finest military leaders of history, without a defeat to his name, usually against numerical odds. That’s right – I’m an Alexander the Great and Gaugamela fanboy.

In fairness, Alexander was lucky, particularly in the opening of his campaign against the Persian Empire – narrowly escaping death at the Battle of the Granicus River. As the saying goes however, fortune favors the bold and Alexander was certainly bold, indeed to the point of personal recklessness, while the Persians were unlucky with their emperor, Darius III, who seemed cautious to the point of cowardly, notoriously fleeing his two big set-piece battles with Alexander at Issus and Gaugamela.

In fairness, Alexander was also legendary. Unable to untie the legendary insoluble Gordian knot of which it was prophesied that whoever untied it would conquer Asia? No problem – just cut it with your sword and go on to conquer Asia.

Faced with threat of the Persian navy which can strike at Greece behind your lines? No problem – just conquer the coastline of the Persian empire. Where’s your navy now, Persia?

Darius offers to surrender half his empire to you and your wimpy general Parmenion says you should accept? Sneer at him “I would too, if I were you”, then proceed to demonstrate you’re Alexander the Great by conquering the other half as well, while showing the Persian emperor he can run but he can’t hide.

Alexander’s conquest of the Persian Empire is also one of those wars that I style as adventurous wars – wars that resemble or evoke a tale of epic adventure, charismatic leaders and small heroic bands of warriors fighting against the odds to win. Indeed, Alexander and his conquests became just that – a historical and legendary source for tales of epic adventure

“Alexander became legendary as a classical hero in the mould of Achilles, featuring prominently in the historical and mythical traditions of both Greek and non-Greek cultures. His military achievements and unprecedented enduring successes in battle made him the measure against which many later military leaders would compare themselves, and his tactics remain a significant subject of study”.

Other wars in my Top 10 Wars that might be similarly styled as ‘adventurous’ wars are the Mongol Conquests and the Spanish Conquest of the Americas – to which one might also add my special mentions for the Arab Conquests and Viking Invasions.

Of course, this sets aside the distinctly unadventurous nature of wars to those at the pointed end of their destruction, usually on the other side, but also those who end up as casualties on the same side. Alexander’s conquests were no exception – infamously, he personally killed Cleitus the Black in a drunken altercation, the man who had saved his life at Granicus.

Of those wars I’ve styled as adventurous wars, I’d have to rank the Spanish conquest the highest in terms of just how lopsided or overwhelming the numerical odds were against it (for the Aztecs and even more so the Incas), victories unparalleled in history, even by Alexander. That said, Alexander did face overwhelming odds against him and his Greek or Macedonian forces, both in individual battles and the conquest of the Persian Empire as a whole.

In fairness, Alexander also probably started in the best position of all the leaders in those adventurous wars, having inherited the Macedonian state and its phalanxes honed to one of the finest fighting forces in history by his father Philip – although on the other hand, it is hard to imagine that Philip or any other Macedonian leader had the audacity or acumen to achieve Alexander’s conquest of the whole Persian Empire.

 

ART OF WAR

 

Let’s face it – Alexander the Great would have kicked Sun Tzu’s ass, cutting through all that mystic Taoist poetry like the Gordian knot. I know it and you know it. Did I mention this as an Alexander the Great fan account?

 

WORLD WAR

 

I think it would be overstating to it to claim that Alexander the Great fought and won the first world war, but you know he would have kept going through India if his army hadn’t wimped out on him.

 

FOREVER WAR – STILL FIGHTING THE PERSIAN WARS

 

Alexander’s conquests might be done and dusted – indeed, pretty much after he died as so much relied on his personal charisma. However, the Persian empire was replaced by Greek kingdoms founded by Alexander’s generals, which would cast a long shadow in history even as they ultimately crumbled and the Persian empire rebooted against the Romans.

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

Alexander’s Conquest of the Persian Empire combines the alternate history extravaganza of those wars that hinge on one man as commander or conqueror, with those where the actual outcome seems the implausible alternative history scenario by winning against impossible odds.

Although both should not be overstated – Alexander was more fortunate than some of his fellow conquerors by inheriting his father’s kingdom and even more so the army his father had forged into the instrument of hegemonic power.

Stil, it is hard to imagine anyone other than Alexander with the audacity or ability to achieve the same conquests. What if there was no Alexander? There almost wasn’t, with his lucky escape from death in the Battle of Granicus River, which would have seen his historic conquests nipped in the bud.

At the other end, there is the alternative history scenarios of what Alexander might have achieved if he had not died at only 32 years of age at the height of his achievements.

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS VS BAD GUYS

 

Sorry Persia – I know you’re one of the great civilizations of ancient history, but the Greeks and Alexander the Great will always be the good guys to me.

 

RATING: 4 STARS*****
A-TIER (TOP-TIER)

Top Tens – History: Top 10 Wars (Revamped) (5) Mongol Conquests – Mongol Invasion of Europe

 

The Battle of Legnica (Liegnitz or Wahlstatt) on 9th April 1241 during the first Mongol invasion of Poland – copper engraving by Matthäus Merian the Elder 1630 (public domain image – Wikipedia “Mongol Invasions and Conquests”)

 

(5) MONGOL CONQUESTS –
MONGOL INVASION OF EUROPE (1236-1242)

 

The Mongols were essentially a horse blitzkrieg across Eurasia, achieving a mobility and speed on land, exceeded only by modern mobile warfare using the internal combustion engine.

The horse blitzkrieg was a recurring feature mounted (heh) by nomadic herding tribes, particularly by those from the steppes of central Asia, to such devastating effect against more sedentary or settled agricultural states throughout history. I can’t resist the memorable quote by the Pax Romana Youtube channel that “history is mostly a matter of hoping those psychos on horseback don’t attack this summer, steal the grain and take the slaves”.

None were more supremely effective at it than the Mongols, one of the most proficient and versatile military forces in history – one that was also supremely adaptable at coopting its conquered people for further conquests and for strategies of war beyond their horse blitzkrieg. It’s surprising how small the actual Mongol component was of their forces.

The founder of the Mongol Empire – Temujin, better known as Genghis Khan – was the best military and political leader of his era, or arguably any era. He succeeded in unifying the Mongol tribes as the nucleus of his empire, which at his death stretched from northern China through Central Asia to Iran and the outskirts of European Russia. In doing so, the Mongols conquered glittering states along the Silk Road in central Asia that barely anyone remembers because the Mongols wiped them out so thoroughly – the Khwaraziman Empire of Iran and the Qara Khitai.

However, it is the wars of his successors that are particularly fascinating to me as they advanced into almost every corner of Eurasia.

In the Middle East, they besieged and sacked Baghdad, the center of Islamic power for half a millennia, occupying as far as parts of Syria and Turkey, with raids advancing as far as Gaza in Palestine, where they were stopped in the battle of Ain Jalut by the Mamluks of Egypt.

In East Asia, the Mongols did not face a unified China but two warring states, the Jin in northern China and the Sung in southern China. Genghis had largely defeated the former – his successors finished it off and conquered the Sung as well. The latter was most famously by Kublai Khan – and in Xanadu did Kubla Khan a stately pleasure dome decree.

The Mongols also invaded Korea, Burma and Vietnam. It’s interesting to think of the Mongol Vietnam War, which as Vietnam Wars usually go, resulted in defeat for the Mongols. It’s also interesting, given the definitive horse blitzkrieg of the Mongols, that the Mongols launched naval invasions of Java and Japan, but perhaps not surprisingly neither did well – the latter giving rise to the Japanese word kamikaze or divine wind for the storms that scattered the Mongol invasion fleets.

However, I’m giving this entry to the campaigns of his successors most familiar to me from my Eurocentric perspective – the Mongol invasion of Europe, commanded in the field by one of the best Mongol generals, Subutai. The Mongols rolled over European Russia – over much of which they would remain ruling as the Golden Horde until the fifteenth century – and invaded central Europe, decisively defeating Poland and Hungary.

They were poised to strike into the heartland of Europe and the Holy Roman Empire, indeed raiding the latter (and the Balkans), with little to stop them but the English Channel – but fortunately for Europe, the Great Khan Ogedai died, so the Mongol armies withdrew back to Russia while their leaders returned to Mongolia to select the new Great Khan. Or so the story goes – historians vary on whether that was the true cause for the Mongols to desist from their invasion.

Even so, the Mongols continued to cast a long shadow of terror into Europe, reinforced by further raids in the thirteenth century (such that the raids of the 1280’s are sometimes styled as the second Mongol invasion) and fourteenth century.

And traumatizing Europeans with steak tartare, based on the popular legend of Mongol or ‘Tartar’ warriors tenderizing meat under their saddles and eating it at night after it had been ‘cooked’ by the heat and sweat from the horse.

 

ART OF WAR

 

Forget Sun Tzu – the true Art of War was written by Genghis Khan and the Mongols…in conquest. A friend and I used to observe the irony of Sun Tzu’s Art of War originating in China – a country that historically has gotten its ass kicked as often as not. (The same irony for Machiavelli’s The Prince originating in Italy – a country known for its political chaos).

But seriously – an army that conquered the world clearly excelled in the art of war. Ruling their conquests on the other hand…although in fairness any empire that size at that time was doomed to fragmentation.

 

WORLD WAR

 

The Mongol Conquests were nothing short of what should be described as a world war to create the largest contiguous land empire in history, and one that is still only exceeded by the British Empire – perhaps the most serious contender for the first true world war.

 

FOREVER WAR – STILL FIGHTING THE MONGOL CONQUESTS

 

One of the few wars we’re not still fighting, even though we live in a Mongol-made world. The rising Russian state, with long memories of the Golden Horde, saw to that by conquering the steppes and various residual khanates (into the nineteenth century), but arguably inheriting their legacy and former territory as the new horde.

 

ALTERNATE WAR

 

The Mongol Conquests are an alternate history extravaganza, so incredibly exploding out of nowhere.

Well, perhaps not out of nowhere. The Mongols and the nomadic herding tribes on horseback in the Eurasian steppes consistently punched far above their weight in wealth or population until recently – as noted by military historians Azar Gat and John Keegan, as well as historian Walter Scheidel referring to this steppe effect.

Still, the Mongol Conquests are one of a select elite of wars of imperial conquest that seem to hinge on one man as commander or conqueror, begging the alternate history question of the great man theory of history – what if that great man didn’t happen? Without Temujin or Genghis Khan to unite them and lead them to empire, would the Mongol Conquests have ever begun?

And then there’s the other end of the Mongol Conquests, when the Mongols seem an unstoppable juggernaut, particularly in their invasions of Europe – could the Mongols have conquered Europe?

 

JUST WAR – GOOD GUYS VS BAD GUYS

 

History has tended to overlook the positive or even progressive aspects of the Pax Mongolica – but it is also difficult to cast them as good guys, given the destruction they wrought, exceeding even the Second World War relative to world population.

 

RATINGS: 4 STARS****
A-TIER (TOP TIER)